Desenzano Calvina vs Casatese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Desenzano Calvina - Casatese
Result
2:0
11/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Procaccio A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', 2 - 0, Antonelli F. ,

Chances of winning


Desenzano Calvina
42.3%
Draw
29.2%
Casatese
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.4% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 27.3% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Casatese aligns with the current prediction.
  • Desenzano Calvina - Casatese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.11
    (3.2)
    3.18
    (3.06)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Desenzano won 3.
    • Desenzano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Casatese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Desenzano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Desenzano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Desenzano Calvina - Casatese were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Casatese - Desenzano Calvina 0:1
    15.12.2024 Desenzano Calvina - Casatese 3:1
    03.12.2023 Casatese - Desenzano Calvina 0:1
    23.04.2023 Desenzano Calvina - Casatese 1:3
    11.12.2022 Casatese - Desenzano Calvina 3:1
    Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
    Latest results of Casatese
    04.05.2025 SantAngelo - Casatese 2:1
    17.04.2025 Varesina - Casatese 2:3
    13.04.2025 Casatese - Breno 6:0
    06.04.2025 Chievo - Casatese 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese54107:3413
    2AC Milan U23532010:5511
    3Real Calepina531111:6510
    4Chievo531110:7310
    5Brusaporto43017:529
    6Villa Valle42118:447
    7Breno51409:637
    8Caldiero Terme51405:237
    9Castellanzese513111:476
    10Ciserano-Bergamo51315:416
    11USD Casatese51316:606
    12Oltrepo52127:8-16
    13Leon50505:505
    14Varesina51136:8-24
    15Pavia51045:13-83
    16Scanzorosciate51042:10-83
    17Vogherese50233:6-32
    18Sondrio50051:16-150

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