Casatese vs Real Calepina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Casatese - Real Calepina
Result
4:2
21/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Casatese
61.1%
Draw
23.3%
Real Calepina
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 23.3% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 15.8% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Real Calepina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-20.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casatese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Calepina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Casatese - Real Calepina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)
    3.9
    (3.87)
    5.86
    (5.5)
    9.8%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casatese won 3.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • Real Calepina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Casatese is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Casatese won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casatese - Real Calepina were as follows:
    15.10.2023 Real Calepina - Casatese 1:2
    06.04.2023 Real Calepina - Casatese 0:0
    27.11.2022 Casatese - Real Calepina 1:0
    Latest results of Casatese
    04.02.2024 Villa Valle - Casatese 0:1
    31.01.2024 Casatese - Castellanzese 0:0
    27.01.2024 Varesina - Casatese 4:1
    21.01.2024 Casatese - Piacenza 1:4
    Latest results of Real Calepina
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1