Casatese vs Vogherese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Avinci G. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Avinci G. ,
  • 81', 3 - 0, Carannante G. ,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Alessandro D. ,
  • 90+13', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Casatese
59.1%
Draw
23.9%
Vogherese
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 23.6% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.6% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Vogherese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vogherese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Casatese - Vogherese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.52)
    3.8
    (3.8)
    5.34
    (5.15)
    10.1%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Casatese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vogherese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vogherese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Casatese is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Casatese
    23.11.2025 Castellanzese - Casatese 1:2
    16.11.2025 Casatese - Villa Valle 2:0
    09.11.2025 Varesina - Casatese 0:0
    26.10.2025 Brusaporto - Casatese 1:1
    Latest results of Vogherese
    23.11.2025 Vogherese - Chievo 0:1
    15.11.2025 Pavia - Vogherese 0:0
    09.11.2025 Vogherese - Leon 1:3
    02.11.2025 Scanzorosciate - Vogherese 0:0
    26.10.2025 Vogherese - Castellanzese 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to