Monopoli vs Casertana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Monopoli - Casertana
Result
1:0
23/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Goal Attempts
44
Shots on Goal
21
Shots off Goal
23
Corner Kicks
20
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Heinz J. 🟨,
  • 25', Bulevardi D. 🟨,
  • 29', Bulevardi D. , Scipioni E. ,
  • 43', Scipioni E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', De Risio C. , Battocchio C. ,
  • 62', Bruschi N. , Yeboah P. ,
  • 62', Bunino C. , Carretta M. ,
  • 71', Kallon Y. , Paglino S. ,
  • 79', Falzerano M. , Calvano S. ,
  • 79', Grandolfo F. , Pellegrini J. ,
  • 80', Vano M. , Ciano C. ,
  • 80', Egharevba D. , Damian F. ,
  • 80', Heinz J. , Frison F. ,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Pellegrini J. ,

Chances of winning


Monopoli
47.3%
Draw
29.7%
Casertana
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 27.7% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 26.5% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monopoli's form might have worsened.
  • Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casertana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monopoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casertana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monopoli - Casertana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.59)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    3.98
    (5.69)
    9.1%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 0.
    • Monopoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Casertana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Monopoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monopoli is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monopoli: Angileri A. (Injury) Capozzi M. (Inactive) De Palo A. (Inactive) Vazquez F. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Casertana: Bacchetti L. (Yellow Cards) Bakayoko A. (Inactive) Bianchi S. (Inactive) Deli F. (Inactive) Galletta U. (Knee Injury) Mancini S. (Inactive) Pareiko D. (Inactive)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Monopoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:18 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monopoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monopoli - Casertana were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Casertana - Monopoli 0:0
    06.01.2024 Monopoli - Casertana 1:2
    27.09.2023 Casertana - Monopoli 1:1
    Latest results of Monopoli
    16.03.2025 Picerno - Monopoli 1:0
    12.03.2025 Monopoli - Latina 2:0
    08.03.2025 Trapani - Monopoli 0:1
    02.03.2025 Monopoli - ACR Messina 2:1
    23.02.2025 Crotone - Monopoli 2:0
    Latest results of Casertana
    12.03.2025 Altamura - Casertana 2:0
    09.03.2025 Casertana - Benevento 1:1
    03.03.2025 Cavese - Casertana 1:0
    22.02.2025 Casertana - Avellino 1:2
    16.02.2025 Catania - Casertana 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1