Tivoli Calcio vs Casertana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group G Tivoli Calcio - Casertana
Result
2:3
05/03/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Tivoli Calcio
31.7%
Draw
28.6%
Casertana
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 28.5% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 26.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tivoli Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tivoli Calcio's performance.
  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tivoli Calcio that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tivoli Calcio - Casertana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (3.46)
    3.17
    (3.17)
    2.28
    (1.99)
    10.5%
    (10.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).
    • Recent matches Tivoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Casertana is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Casertana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Calcio - Casertana were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Casertana - Tivoli Calcio 1:1
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    19.02.2023 Tivoli Calcio - Arzachena 1:1
    12.02.2023 Vis Artena - Tivoli Calcio 0:0
    05.02.2023 Tivoli Calcio - Sorrento 0:0
    29.01.2023 Pomezia - Tivoli Calcio 3:3
    Latest results of Casertana
    26.02.2023 Casertana - Pomezia 2:0
    18.02.2023 Romana - Casertana 0:1
    29.01.2023 Casertana - Cassino 2:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1