Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 78% (40/51) | 69% (44/64) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 58% (15/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (20/64) | 22% (11/51) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 45% (13/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (1/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (56/80) | 66% (59/90) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (31/90) | 30% (24/80) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (87/170) | 49% (83/170) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 7% (1/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 46% (13/28) |
Chances of winning
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
85.8% | Casper Ruud
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.11 ↓
(1.14) |
|
6.74 ↑
(5.7) |
4.9%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Ruud will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ruud (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Ruud is ranked ATP: 12.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 2.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Alcaraz Garfia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlos Alcaraz Garfia won against Casper Ruud?
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Carlos Alcaraz Garfia?
Casper Ruud has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud were as follows:
11.11.2024
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Casper Ruud
0:2
02.10.2023
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
-
Casper Ruud
2:0
18.12.2022
Casper Ruud
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
2:0
11.09.2022
Casper Ruud
-
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
1:3
Latest results of Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | 2 : 0 |
