Result
1:2
23/05/2024 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Geneva (Switzerland), clay - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Asderaki-Moore E. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 3 |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 80% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (47/69) | 68% (36/53) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 55% (16/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 33% (23/69) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 65% (11/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 80% (4/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Max Points In Row |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (52/84) | 63% (50/79) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (29/79) | 38% (32/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (81/163) | 50% (82/163) |
| Max Games In Row |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 54% (15/28) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
27.8% | Casper Ruud
72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casper Ruud's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-4%)
Sebastian Baez - Casper Ruud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.81) |
|
1.32 ↓
(1.45) |
4.6%
(4.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Casper Ruud?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Ruud will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 59.8% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Baez is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Ruud is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Baez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ruud is a favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Casper Ruud?
Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Sebastian Baez?
Casper Ruud has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Casper Ruud were as follows:
26.07.2023
Casper Ruud
-
Sebastian Baez
2:1
07.04.2023
Casper Ruud
-
Sebastian Baez
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Munar J. | Halys Q. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. (WC) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Nishikori K. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ofner S. (Q) | Gakhov I. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Michelsen A. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Popyrin A. (5) | Jarry N. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Lajovic D. (WC) | Fearnley J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Norrie C. (Q) | Stricker D. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (3) | |
| 13 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Sell K. (Q) | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Fucsovics M. | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Djokovic N. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. (4) | Nishikori K. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Popyrin A. (5) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Norrie C. | Machac T. (RET.) (3) | 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fucsovics M. | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Hurkacz H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Khachanov K. (4) | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. (5) | Norrie C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Arnaldi M. (8) | Djokovic N. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Norrie C. | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hurkacz H. (6) | Djokovic N. (2) | 1 : 2 |
