Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 72% (34/47) | 66% (38/58) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (20/34) | 47% (16/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 32% (15/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 41% (14/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 45 | 15 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 83% (19/23) | 88% (7/8) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (54/81) | 57% (52/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (40/92) | 33% (27/81) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (94/173) | 46% (79/173) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 8% (1/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 62% (16/26) | 38% (10/26) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Korda
52.7% | Casper Ruud
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.2) |
|
2.01 ↑
(1.67) |
5.2%
(5.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 35.7% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Korda (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Korda is ranked ATP: 50. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Korda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Casper Ruud?
Sebastian Korda has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casper Ruud won against Sebastian Korda?
Casper Ruud has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud were as follows:
17.10.2025
Sebastian Korda
-
Casper Ruud
1:2
27.04.2025
Sebastian Korda
-
Casper Ruud
0:2
10.08.2024
Casper Ruud
-
Sebastian Korda
Korda S. walkover
Latest results of Sebastian Korda
Latest results of Casper Ruud
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Quinn E. | Jodar R. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Walton A. (LL) | Diallo G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Moutet C. | Paul T. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tien L. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Kecmanovic M. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kovacevic A. | Svajda Z. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hijikata R. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Nakashima B. (7) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Borges N. | Wong C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Kypson P. (WC) | Atmane T. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Cobolli F. (3) | |
| 13 | Vacherot V. (6) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Korda S. | McDonald M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Ruud C. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Jodar R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Walton A. | Paul T. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. (4) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Svajda Z. | Tiafoe F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Nakashima B. (7) | Wong C. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Cobolli F. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Michelsen A. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Giron M. | Ruud C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fritz T. (1) | Paul T. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Tien L. (4) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Wong C. | Cobolli F. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Ruud C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Paul T. (5) | Tien L. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cobolli F. (3) | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Paul T. (5) | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
