Castanhal vs Águia de Marabá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
28/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Grao Para - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (4 - 1)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Castanhal
32.5%
Draw
33.1%
Águia de Marabá
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 30.1% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.4% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.
  • Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águia de Marabá's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castanhal - Águia de Marabá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.17)
    2.78
    (3)
    2.67
    (3.19)
    8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Castanhal - Águia de Marabá?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Águia de Marabá (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Águia de Marabá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Castanhal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castanhal - Águia de Marabá were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Castanhal - Águia de Marabá 1:1
    16.04.2023 Águia de Marabá - Castanhal 2:0
    08.04.2023 Castanhal - Águia de Marabá 1:2
    05.02.2023 Castanhal - Águia de Marabá 1:1
    Latest results of Castanhal
    25.02.2026 Castanhal - Guarani 2:1
    22.02.2026 Paysandu - Castanhal 1:0
    19.02.2026 Capitão Poço - Castanhal 0:1
    12.02.2026 Castanhal - Remo 2:2
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1CastanhalBye
    2Aguia De MarabaSanta Rosa1 : 0
    3CametaBye
    4Capitao PocoTuna Luso2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CastanhalAguia De Maraba1 : 0
    2CametaCapitao Poco1 : 2

    Final
    1CastanhalCapitao Poco