Result
1:0 penalties
28/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Grao Para - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (4 - 1)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Castanhal 32.5% | Draw 33.1% | Águia de Marabá 34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águia de Marabá's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castanhal - Águia de Marabá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.83 ↑ (2.17) |
2.78 ↓ (3) |
2.67 ↓ (3.19) |
8.7% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Castanhal - Águia de Marabá?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Águia de Marabá (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Águia de Marabá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Águia de Marabá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Castanhal will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castanhal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castanhal won against Águia de Marabá?
Castanhal has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Águia de Marabá won against Castanhal?
Águia de Marabá has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castanhal - Águia de Marabá were as follows:
02.02.2025
Castanhal
-
Águia de Marabá
1:1
16.04.2023
Águia de Marabá
-
Castanhal
2:0
08.04.2023
Castanhal
-
Águia de Marabá
1:2
05.02.2023
Castanhal
-
Águia de Marabá
1:1
Latest results of Castanhal
Latest results of Águia de Marabá
Draw
2026Quarter-finals| 1 | Castanhal | Bye | |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | Santa Rosa | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cameta | Bye | |
| 4 | Capitao Poco | Tuna Luso | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Castanhal | Aguia De Maraba | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Cameta | Capitao Poco | 1 : 2 |
Final