Castanhal vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
25/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
711
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
811
Corner kicks
711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Daniel GTA ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Lucca ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Castanhal
24.2%
Draw
31.2%
Guarani
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 28.4% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 28.5% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Castanhal - Guarani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (3.21)
    2.97
    (3.15)
    2.07
    (2.05)
    8.5%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Castanhal - Guarani?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guarani (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Castanhal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Guarani is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Guarani is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Castanhal
    22.02.2026 Paysandu - Castanhal 1:0
    19.02.2026 Capitão Poço - Castanhal 0:1
    12.02.2026 Castanhal - Remo 2:2
    31.01.2026 Castanhal - Santa Rosa 1:0
    Latest results of Guarani
    15.02.2026 Palmeiras - Guarani 1:1
    07.02.2026 Guarani - Botafogo SP 0:2
    31.01.2026 Guarani - Ponte Preta 1:0
    26.01.2026 Portuguesa - Guarani 0:1
    22.01.2026 Velo Clube - Guarani 0:1
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    2ByeVolta Redonda
    3America RNBye
    4ByeGAS
    5Barra FCBye
    7America MGBye
    8America SETirol1 : 2
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17CastanhalBye
    18ByeGuarani
    19Nova IguacuBye
    20ByeLagarto
    21ManauaraBye
    22ByeItabaiana
    23FortalezaBye
    24MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33JoinvilleBye
    34ByeCSA
    35Sao BernardoBye
    36ByeAlagoinhas
    37Sao LuizBye
    38ByeMaranhao
    39CearaBye
    40AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Operario VGBye
    50ByePorto Velho
    51Atletico GOBye
    52Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    53Ponte PretaBye
    55SER CaxiasBye
    56ByeGuarany de Bage
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65Tuna LusoBye
    66ByeTocantinopolis
    67JuventudeBye
    68GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    69BareMadureira0 : 3
    70ByeABC
    71Aguia De MarabaBye
    72ByeIndependencia
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81Santa CruzBye
    82ByeSousa
    83CRBBye
    84Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    85ImperatrizBye
    86ByeAmazonas
    87FigueirenseBye
    88ByeAzuriz
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1IvinhemaVolta Redonda2 : 4
    2America RNGAS3 : 0
    3Barra FCBye
    4America MGTirol2 : 1
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife0 : 1
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club1 : 2
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    10Nova IguacuLagarto2 : 1
    11ManauaraItabaiana3 : 1
    12FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba2 : 1
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    18Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    19Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    20CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC0 : 1
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    26Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    27Ponte PretaBye
    28SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI0 : 1
    33Tuna LusoTocantinopolis4 : 1
    34JuventudeGuapore5 : 0
    35MadureiraABC1 : 0
    36Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    37Capital FCManaus1 : 2
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR0 : 2
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41Santa CruzSousa0 : 1
    42CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    43ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    44FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria3 : 0
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana1 : 0

    1/64-finals
    1Volta RedondaAmerica RN1 : 0
    2Barra FCAmerica MG1 : 0
    3Sport RecifeAnapolis2 : 1
    4Athletic ClubYpiranga FC2 : 0
    5CastanhalNova Iguacu0 : 4
    6ManauaraFortaleza0 : 1
    7Santa CatarinaJacuipense0 : 1
    8MixtoNovorizontino0 : 3
    9JoinvilleSao Bernardo0 : 1
    10MaranhaoCeara0 : 1
    11Vila Nova FCOperario MS2 : 1
    12ConfiancaTombense2 : 0
    13Porto VelhoAtletico GO0 : 1
    14Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage1 : 0
    15Maringa FCUberlandia3 : 2
    16GoiasFluminense-PI3 : 0
    17Tuna LusoJuventude1 : 2
    18MadureiraAguia De Maraba0 : 1
    19ManausLondrina0 : 1
    20Operario-PRCapital2 : 0
    21SousaCRB0 : 2
    22AmazonasFigueirense0 : 1
    23PortuguesaAvai2 : 1
    24Paysandu PAPortuguesa RJ3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1Volta RedondaBarra FC0 : 1
    2Sport RecifeAthletic Club1 : 3
    3Nova IguacuFortaleza0 : 1
    4JacuipenseNovorizontino1 : 0
    5Sao BernardoCeara0 : 1
    6Vila Nova FCConfianca0 : 1
    7Atletico GOPonte Preta1 : 0
    8Maringa FCGoias0 : 1
    9JuventudeAguia De Maraba3 : 0
    10LondrinaOperario-PR0 : 1
    11CRBFigueirense1 : 0
    12PortuguesaPaysandu PA2 : 3