Result
3:2 penalties
21/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Spanish Cup - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', Sancho D. (G),
- 6', Gauna L. (G),
- 7', Juanqui (Own Goal),
- 10', Waltinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Mellado M. (G),
- 25', Plaza A. 🟨,
- 26', Gil D. 🟨,
- 32', Juanqui 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Plaza A. (Pen),
- 1, Motta G. (Pen),
- 2, Gauna L. (Pen),
- 2, Cortes F. (Pen),
- 3, Sancho D. (Pen),
- 3, Mouhoudine S. (Pen),
- 4, Perez V. (Pen),
- 4, Gonzalez P. (Pen),
- 5, Juanqui (Pen),
Chances of winning
Castell de Peñiscola 39.5% | Draw 19.3% | Cartagena 41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castell de Peñiscola's form might have worsened.Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castell de Peñiscola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (1.97) |
4.72 ↓ (5) |
2.21 ↓ (2.58) |
9.8% (9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 6.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Peñiscola won 1.
- Peñiscola in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Cartagena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Peñiscola won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 55:51 (average 3.7:3.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Peñiscola won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 3.4:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Castell de Peñiscola won against Cartagena?
Castell de Peñiscola has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagena won against Castell de Peñiscola?
Cartagena has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena were as follows:
12.02.2025
Castell de Peñiscola
-
Cartagena
5:2
08.02.2025
Cartagena
-
Castell de Peñiscola
4:4
15.01.2025
Castell de Peñiscola
-
Cartagena
2:4
06.04.2024
Cartagena
-
Castell de Peñiscola
5:5
15.11.2023
Castell de Peñiscola
-
Cartagena
2:7
Latest results of Castell de Peñiscola
Latest results of Cartagena
Draw
2025Quarter-finals1 | Movistar Inter | Jaen | 4 : 3 |
2 | Palma Futsal | ElPozo Murcia | 3 : 2 |
3 | Peniscola | Cartagena | 3 : 2 |
4 | Ind. Santa Coloma | Barcelona | 3 : 8 |
Semi-finals1 | Movistar Inter | Palma Futsal | 3 : 4 |
2 | Peniscola | Barcelona | 8 : 2 |
Final1 | Palma Futsal | Peniscola | 3 : 4 |