Castell de Peñiscola vs Cartagena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Futsal Spanish Cup Futsal Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena
Result
3:2 penalties
21/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Spanish Cup - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', Sancho D. (G),
  • 6', Gauna L. (G),
  • 7', Juanqui (Own Goal),
  • 10', Waltinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Mellado M. (G),
  • 25', Plaza A. 🟨,
  • 26', Gil D. 🟨,
  • 32', Juanqui 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 2)
  • 1, Plaza A. (Pen),
  • 1, Motta G. (Pen),
  • 2, Gauna L. (Pen),
  • 2, Cortes F. (Pen),
  • 3, Sancho D. (Pen),
  • 3, Mouhoudine S. (Pen),
  • 4, Perez V. (Pen),
  • 4, Gonzalez P. (Pen),
  • 5, Juanqui (Pen),

Chances of winning


Castell de Peñiscola
39.5%
Draw
19.3%
Cartagena
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 18.3% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 14.9% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castell de Peñiscola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castell de Peñiscola's form might have worsened.
  • Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castell de Peñiscola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.97)
    4.72
    (5)
    2.21
    (2.58)
    9.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Peñiscola won 1.
    • Peñiscola in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Cartagena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Peñiscola won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 55:51 (average 3.7:3.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Peñiscola won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 3.4:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena 5:2
    08.02.2025 Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola 4:4
    15.01.2025 Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena 2:4
    06.04.2024 Cartagena - Castell de Peñiscola 5:5
    15.11.2023 Castell de Peñiscola - Cartagena 2:7
    Latest results of Castell de Peñiscola
    Latest results of Cartagena
    15.03.2025 Manzanares - Cartagena 3:4
    28.02.2025 Cartagena - Noia 2:2
    25.02.2025 Inter Movistar - Cartagena 0:0
    22.02.2025 Cartagena - Palma Futsal 2:2
    18.02.2025 Santa Coloma - Cartagena 3:2
    Draw
    2025

    Quarter-finals
    1Movistar InterJaen4 : 3
    2Palma FutsalElPozo Murcia3 : 2
    3PeniscolaCartagena3 : 2
    4Ind. Santa ColomaBarcelona3 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Movistar InterPalma Futsal3 : 4
    2PeniscolaBarcelona8 : 2

    Final
    1Palma FutsalPeniscola3 : 4