Castell de Peñiscola vs Santa Coloma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
7:3
28/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)

Chances of winning


Castell de Peñiscola
50.8%
Draw
17.8%
Santa Coloma
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 18.1% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 20.2% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castell de Peñiscola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Santa Coloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castell de Peñiscola than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castell de Peñiscola that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Coloma than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Coloma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.84)
    5.12
    (5)
    2.9
    (2.77)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Peñiscola could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñiscola won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 77:62. (average 3.9:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñiscola won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 4.5:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma 4:2
    30.11.2024 Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola 4:5
    14.02.2024 Santa Coloma - Castell de Peñiscola 4:2
    23.09.2023 Castell de Peñiscola - Santa Coloma 7:5
    Latest results of Castell de Peñiscola
    Latest results of Santa Coloma
    22.11.2025 Santa Coloma - Noia 3:5
    18.11.2025 Leganés - Santa Coloma 5:7
    15.11.2025 Xota - Santa Coloma 3:4
    07.11.2025 Santa Coloma - O Parrulo 2:3
    Spanish Primera Division Futsal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1ElPozo Murcia20144265:4446
    2Barcelona20135281:4044
    3Palma Futsal20104679:6134
    4Manzanares FS2097471:6434
    5Cartagena2094769:4631
    6Movistar Inter20710364:5331
    7FS Valdepenas2092951:4929
    8Jaen2085757:5829
    9O Parrulo2075865:7226
    10Cordoba2074946:5425
    11Noia1973959:6724
    12Ind. Santa Coloma20731058:7724
    13Peniscola1964962:7022
    14Xota FS20551052:6020
    15Alzira FS20421460:8914
    16Ribera Navarra20231547:829

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Segunda Division