Result
2:2
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Chessa M. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pelamatti M. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 2, Coulibaly B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 2, Chessa M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castellanzese
40% | Draw
29.5% | Arconatese
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arconatese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arconatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castellanzese - Arconatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.02) |
3.08 ↑
(3.03) |
2.97 ↓
(3.63) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 3.
- Castellanzese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Arconatese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castellanzese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Castellanzese will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Arconatese?
Castellanzese has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arconatese won against Castellanzese?
Arconatese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellanzese - Arconatese were as follows:
03.11.2024
Arconatese
-
Castellanzese
1:2
03.03.2024
Arconatese
-
Castellanzese
1:2
29.10.2023
Castellanzese
-
Arconatese
1:0
Latest results of Castellanzese
Latest results of Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Real Calepina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Chievo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Brusaporto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Breno | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Caldiero Terme | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Castellanzese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Oltrepo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Leon | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Varesina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Pavia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Scanzorosciate | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Vogherese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Sondrio | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:16 | -15 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
