Result
2:2
09/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Chessa M. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pelamatti M. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 2, Coulibaly B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 2 - 2, Chessa M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castellanzese
40% | Draw
29.5% | Arconatese
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arconatese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellanzese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arconatese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castellanzese - Arconatese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.02) |
3.08 ↑
(3.03) |
2.97 ↓
(3.63) |
10.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 3.
- Castellanzese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Arconatese is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Castellanzese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Castellanzese will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Castellanzese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Arconatese?
Castellanzese has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arconatese won against Castellanzese?
Arconatese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellanzese - Arconatese were as follows:
03.11.2024
Arconatese
-
Castellanzese
1:2
03.03.2024
Arconatese
-
Castellanzese
1:2
29.10.2023
Castellanzese
-
Arconatese
1:0
Latest results of Castellanzese
Latest results of Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 51:22 | 29 | 64 |
| 2 | Chievo | 31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Leon | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 42:31 | 11 | 51 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49:34 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Oltrepo | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 4 | 40 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | Breno | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Pavia | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Varesina | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:58 | -30 | 25 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 19:58 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
