Caldiero Terme vs Castellanzese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese
Result
2:1
14/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 35

Match Stats

Red Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Valsecchi P. ,
  • 29', 🟥,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Zerbato L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Pilotti F. 🟥,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Zerbato L. ,
  • 82', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Caldiero Terme
51.2%
Draw
28.1%
Castellanzese
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 28.3% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 27.6% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldiero Terme's form might have worsened.
  • Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellanzese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellanzese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.59)
    3.21
    (3.2)
    4.34
    (6.14)
    11.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
    • Caldiero Terme is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Castellanzese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Caldiero Terme is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caldiero Terme - Castellanzese were as follows:
    03.12.2023 Castellanzese - Caldiero Terme 2:2
    Latest results of Caldiero Terme
    Latest results of Castellanzese
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1