Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Itraloni P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Pavia
34.2% | Draw
33.2% | Castellanzese
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Castellanzese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-1%)
Pavia - Castellanzese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.47) |
2.73 ↓
(2.99) |
2.79 ↑
(2.74) |
10.2%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- In recent matches, Pavia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Castellanzese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pavia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Castellanzese?
Pavia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Pavia?
Castellanzese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Castellanzese were as follows:
09.11.2025
Castellanzese
-
Pavia
0:0
Latest results of Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
