Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 27
- Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (280/359) | 83% (376/451) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (280/359) | 83% (376/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (14/45) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (44/71) | 65% (72/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Sienra A. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Jese (Penalty Awarded),
- 28', Sergio Barcia 🟨,
- 38', Amatucci L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Mabil A. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 59', Ronaldo ↓, Suero I. ↑,
- 63', Viti ↓, Pezzolesi V. ↑,
- 66', Camara O. 🟨,
- 72', Alcazar L. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
- 77', Jese ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
- 77', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
- 77', Sergio Barcia ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
- 82', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 85', Sienra A. 🟨,
- 88', Amatucci L. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 89', Miyashiro T. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 90', Jimenez A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 90', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ss362nnm
Chances of winning
Las Palmas
36.3% | Draw
29.9% | Castellón
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Las Palmas - Castellón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.54) |
3.12 ↓
(3.31) |
2.79 ↑
(2.66) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Las Palmas - Castellón?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Castellón will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 19.1% – 73.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Castellón (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
- Las Palmas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Castellón is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Las Palmas: Alex Suarez
(Back Injury)
Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ramirez S.
(Knee Injury)
Recoba J.
(Knee Injury)
Viera J.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Barri
(Yellow Cards)
Doue M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Las Palmas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Las Palmas won against Castellón?
Las Palmas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Las Palmas?
Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Las Palmas - Castellón were as follows:
30.11.2025
Castellón
-
Las Palmas
1:0
Latest results of Las Palmas
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 79:57 | 22 | 72 |
| 2 | Almeria | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 78:58 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | Dep. La Coruna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 59:41 | 18 | 68 |
| 4 | Las Palmas | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 51:32 | 19 | 66 |
| 5 | Castellon | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:48 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Malaga | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:49 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 11 | 62 |
| 8 | Eibar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:36 | 11 | 61 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:56 | -2 | 57 |
| 10 | Andorra | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 55 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 46:58 | -12 | 54 |
| 12 | Gijon | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 51:49 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | Albacete | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 49:51 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 48 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | -9 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 41:46 | -5 | 42 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad B | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46:54 | -8 | 42 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Huesca | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 39:59 | -20 | 36 |
| 20 | Mirandes | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 42:64 | -22 | 36 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 33:51 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 35:62 | -27 | 33 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
