Castellonense vs Utiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Castellonense
55.2%
Draw
26.8%
Utiel
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 24.1% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 22.2% 11.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castellonense's form might have worsened.
  • Utiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utiel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castellonense - Utiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.45)
    3.37
    (3.8)
    5.04
    (7.3)
    10.4%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2.
    • Castellonense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Utiel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Castellonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castellonense is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Castellonense will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Castellonense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castellonense - Utiel were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Utiel - Castellonense 1:2
    07.06.2025 Castellonense - Utiel 1:1
    01.06.2025 Utiel - Castellonense 1:1
    26.04.2025 Castellonense - Utiel 1:0
    15.12.2024 Utiel - Castellonense 1:1
    Latest results of Castellonense
    Latest results of Utiel
    01.03.2026 Utiel - Ontinyent 1931 1:2
    21.02.2026 Villarreal C - Utiel 3:1
    15.02.2026 Utiel - La Nucía 0:0
    01.02.2026 Utiel - Soneja 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Castellonense27176446:212557
    2Levante B271410338:191952
    3Saguntino27145836:27947
    4Villarreal C27136849:341545
    5La Nucia271112432:221045
    6Ontinyent 193127129628:19945
    7Torrellano27117935:29640
    8CD Bunol271010730:32-240
    9Vall de Uxo27108925:21438
    10Hercules B26810826:31-534
    11Soneja27951322:33-1132
    12Crevillente277101034:35-131
    13Jove Espau00f1ol27861325:33-830
    14Roda26861226:38-1230
    15Atzeneta27761423:32-927
    16Utiel27671423:33-1025
    17Alzira27581427:44-1723
    18Recambios Colon271111519:41-2214

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          Relegation