Castres vs Black Lion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Castres - Black Lion
Result
28:6
13/01/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max

Chances of winning


Castres
77.3%
Draw
3.2%
Black Lion
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.7% 2.8% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castres's form might have worsened.
  • Black Lion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Black Lion's recent form is better than expected.
  • Castres - Black Lion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.09)
    27
    (33.33)
    4.79
    (7.4)
    8.8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
  • Preview Facts
    • Castres is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Black Lion is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Black Lion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Castres is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Castres
    06.01.2024 Racing Métro - Castres 34:30
    31.12.2023 Castres - Perpignan 13:17
    23.12.2023 Montpellier - Castres 30:21
    16.12.2023 Edinburgh - Castres 34:21
    09.12.2023 Castres - Llanelli Scarlets 34:16
    Latest results of Black Lion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12