Castres vs Munster – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Castres - Munster
Result
16:14
13/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
22
Conversion Goals
02
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
20
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 7)
  • 13', Papalii A. (Try),
  • 30', Walcker Q. (Try),
  • 33', Walcker Q. 🟨,
  • 38', Hodnett J. (Try),
  • 39', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 7)
  • 49', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 68', Hodnett J. (Try),
  • 69', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', Le Brun L. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Castres
55.5%
Draw
4.1%
Munster
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 4.3% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 4.1% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castres's performance.
  • Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Munster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castres than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castres that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Munster than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Munster could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Castres - Munster Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.97)
    23.21
    (21.62)
    2.29
    (1.9)
    8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Castres - Munster?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 25:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Castres won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Castres to win the game is with odds 1.76.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Castres won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 64:142 (average 10.7:23.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castres won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 43:45 (average 14.3:15).
    Latest results of Castres
    07.12.2024 Northampton Saints - Castres 38:8
    30.11.2024 Clermont - Castres 54:10
    23.11.2024 Castres - La Rochelle 28:24
    02.11.2024 Castres - Montpellier 30:26
    26.10.2024 Vannes - Castres 34:28
    Latest results of Munster
    07.12.2024 Munster - Stade Français 33:7
    30.11.2024 Munster - Lions 17:10
    02.11.2024 Munster - New Zealand B 24:38
    26.10.2024 Sharks - Munster 41:24
    19.10.2024 Stormers - Munster 34:19
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles20 : 28