Result
29:31
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Peru | Movistar Deportes |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Spain | M+ Deportes |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (12 - 17)
- 3', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 11', Karawalevu V. (Try),
- 12', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Casey C. (Try),
- 19', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
- 35', Casey C. (Try),
- 39', Chabouni T. (Try),
- 40', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 14)
- 47', Abrahams T. (Try),
- 61', Edogbo E. (Try),
- 65', Farrell T. 🟨,
- 69', Palis G. (Try),
- 70', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Ambadiang C. (Try),
- 74', Herve E. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Nakarawa L. 🟨,
- 80', (Penalty Try),
Chances of winning
Munster
88.7% | Draw
2.4% | Castres
8.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Munster - Castres Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.04 ↑
(1.02) |
37.25 ↓
(44) |
10.83 ↓
(11.67) |
8.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Munster won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Castres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Munster is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Munster won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 156:80. (average 22.3:11.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Munster won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 97:21. (average 32.3:7).
How many head-to-head matches has Munster won against Castres?
Munster has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Munster?
Castres has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Munster - Castres were as follows:
13.12.2024
Castres
-
Munster
16:14
Latest results of Munster
Latest results of Castres
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Leicester Tigers | 64 : 14 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | Bristol | 59 : 26 |
| 3 | Bath | Saracens | 31 : 22 |
| 4 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 49 : 41 |
| 5 | Leinster | Edinburgh | 49 : 31 |
| 6 | Harlequins | Sale Sharks | 17 : 26 |
| 7 | Glasgow Warriors | Bulls | 25 : 21 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | Stormers | 28 : 27 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 30 : 15 |
| 2 | Bath | Northampton Saints | 43 : 41 |
| 3 | Leinster | Sale Sharks | 43 : 13 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | RC Toulonnais | 19 : 22 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Bath | |
| 2 | Leinster | RC Toulonnais | |
Final
