Result
1:1
25/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28
Chances of winning
Castrovillari 23.4% | Draw 26.1% | Locri 50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrovillari - Locri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.89 ↑ (3.09) |
3.48 ↑ (3.4) |
1.8 ↓ (2.09) |
10.2% (9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Castrovillari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Locri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Locri?
Castrovillari has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Locri won against Castrovillari?
Locri has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - Locri were as follows:
22.10.2023
Locri
-
Castrovillari
2:2
05.03.2023
Castrovillari
-
Locri
0:1
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gela | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
2 | Savoia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
3 | Igea Virtus | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Athletic Palermo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Gelbison | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Sambiase | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
7 | Nissa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Vibonese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Castrumfavara | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Vigor Lamezia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Milazzo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Reggina | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Sancataldese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
14 | USD Ragusa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Paterno | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
16 | Enna | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
17 | AS Acireale | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
18 | ACR Messina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | -6 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation