Castrovillari vs Locri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Castrovillari - Locri
Result
1:1
25/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28

Chances of winning


Castrovillari
23.4%
Draw
26.1%
Locri
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 26.8% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 25.8% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.
  • Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castrovillari - Locri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.89
    (3.09)
    3.48
    (3.4)
    1.8
    (2.09)
    10.2%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
    • Castrovillari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Locri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - Locri were as follows:
    22.10.2023 Locri - Castrovillari 2:2
    05.03.2023 Castrovillari - Locri 0:1
    Latest results of Castrovillari
    Latest results of Locri
    18.02.2024 Locri - Trapani 0:3
    04.02.2024 Ragusa - Locri 1:0
    28.01.2024 Gioiese - Locri 0:3
    21.01.2024 Locri - Licata 0:3
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1