Result
1:1
25/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28
Chances of winning
Castrovillari
23.4% | Draw
26.1% | Locri
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrovillari - Locri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.89 ↑
(3.09) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
1.8 ↓
(2.09) |
10.2%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Castrovillari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Locri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Locri?
Castrovillari has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Locri won against Castrovillari?
Locri has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - Locri were as follows:
22.10.2023
Locri
-
Castrovillari
2:2
05.03.2023
Castrovillari
-
Locri
0:1
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Igea Virtus | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Savoia | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Vibonese | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Nissa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Gela | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gelbison | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Milazzo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Castrumfavara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Reggina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Vigor Lamezia | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6:8 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Sancataldese | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Enna | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Paterno | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | USD Ragusa | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | ACR Messina | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
