Result
1:1
25/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28
Chances of winning
Castrovillari 23.4% | Draw 26.1% | Locri 50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrovillari's form might have worsened.Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Locri's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrovillari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Locri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrovillari - Locri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.89 ↑ (3.09) |
3.48 ↑ (3.4) |
1.8 ↓ (2.09) |
10.2% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Castrovillari has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Locri is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Locri will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Locri?
Castrovillari has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Locri won against Castrovillari?
Locri has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - Locri were as follows:
22.10.2023
Locri
-
Castrovillari
2:2
05.03.2023
Castrovillari
-
Locri
0:1
Latest results of Castrovillari
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 34 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 21 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 12 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 13 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | -5 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 8 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | -18 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | -50 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation