Castrovillari vs Real Casalnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group I Castrovillari - Real Casalnuovo
Result
0:2
04/02/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Castrovillari
16.5%
Draw
23.9%
Real Casalnuovo
59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 20.5% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Castrovillari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Real Casalnuovo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Casalnuovo than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Casalnuovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Castrovillari - Real Casalnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.5
    (5.5)
    3.79
    (3.79)
    1.52
    (1.52)
    10.4%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 6).
    • Castrovillari is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Real Casalnuovo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Castrovillari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real Casalnuovo is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Castrovillari
    Latest results of Real Casalnuovo
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gela21102:024
    2Gelbison21102:024
    3Igea Virtus21105:414
    4Vibonese21104:314
    5Castrumfavara21103:214
    6Athletic Palermo21102:114
    7Reggina21012:203
    8Vigor Lamezia21012:203
    9Milazzo20203:302
    10Enna20203:302
    11Savoia20201:102
    12AS Acireale20111:2-11
    13Paterno20111:2-11
    14Nissa20111:2-11
    15USD Ragusa20111:3-21
    16Sambiase20111:3-21
    17Sancataldese20023:6-30
    18ACR Messina21103:12-10

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation