Result
0:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara 34.4% | Draw 29.2% | Igea Virtus Barcellona 36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igea Virtus Barcellona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igea Virtus Barcellona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.08) |
3.16 ↓ (3.3) |
2.54 ↓ (3) |
8.3% (11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Igea Virtus (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Igea Virtus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Castrumfavara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Igea Virtus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
Castrumfavara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against Castrumfavara?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona were as follows:
08.10.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Igea Virtus Barcellona
3:1
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation