Result
0:0
16/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Castrumfavara
34.4% | Draw
29.2% | Igea Virtus Barcellona
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igea Virtus Barcellona's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igea Virtus Barcellona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.08) |
3.16 ↓
(3.3) |
2.54 ↓
(3) |
8.3%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Igea Virtus (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Igea Virtus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- Castrumfavara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Igea Virtus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
Castrumfavara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against Castrumfavara?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona were as follows:
08.10.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Igea Virtus Barcellona
3:1
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | Igea Virtus | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 41:21 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Athletic Palermo | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Reggina | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Nissa | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Gela | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 35:34 | 1 | 37 |
| 9 | Sambiase | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:25 | 9 | 35 |
| 11 | Enna | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 26 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 24 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 32:44 | -12 | 23 |
| 17 | Castrumfavara | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Paterno | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15:53 | -38 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
