Result
3:2
29/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Varela I. ⚽,
- 44', 0 - 2, Lanza M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 2, Vacca R. ⚽,
- 48', 2 - 2, Cicirello G. ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 2, Cicirello G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Igea Virtus Barcellona
58.4% | Draw
24.6% | Castrumfavara
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.52) |
3.68 ↓
(3.8) |
5.34 ↑
(5.15) |
10.3%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Igea Virtus is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igea Virtus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Igea Virtus Barcellona won against Castrumfavara?
Igea Virtus Barcellona has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Igea Virtus Barcellona?
Castrumfavara has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igea Virtus Barcellona - Castrumfavara were as follows:
16.11.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Igea Virtus Barcellona
0:0
08.10.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Igea Virtus Barcellona
3:1
Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 60:29 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Nissa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47:26 | 21 | 64 |
| 3 | Reggina | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40:21 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo ✔ | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Gelbison ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Enna | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | USD Ragusa | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 31:46 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21:68 | -47 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Paterno is Relegated to
