Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vigor Lamezia
54.9% | Draw
26.5% | Castrumfavara
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vigor Lamezia's performance.Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castrumfavara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-20.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vigor Lamezia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+16.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrumfavara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(2.79) |
3.46 ↑
(2.94) |
4.94 ↑
(2.47) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Vigor Lamezia (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vigor Lamezia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Vigor Lamezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castrumfavara has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Vigor Lamezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vigor Lamezia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Lamezia won against Castrumfavara?
Vigor Lamezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrumfavara won against Vigor Lamezia?
Castrumfavara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara were as follows:
02.11.2025
Castrumfavara
-
Vigor Lamezia
1:1
Latest results of Vigor Lamezia
Latest results of Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Athletic Palermo | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:35 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Nissa | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Savoia | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Reggina | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:19 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Igea Virtus | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Gelbison | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 35:29 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 29:29 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Gela | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:28 | 8 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 15 | AS Acireale | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 24 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Paterno | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
