Result
4:2
09/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 62', 2 - 0, Neiva J. ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 1, Roldan J. ⚽,
- 90+9', 3 - 2, Rodriguez L. ⚽,
- 90+11', 4 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castuera
26.8% | Draw
28.5% | Jerez
44.7% |
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Castuera have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.The chances for Jerez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Castuera - Jerez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4
(3.4) |
3.2
(3.2) |
2.04
(2.04) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Castuera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Jerez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Jerez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Jerez will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Our prediction for today's Jerez to win the game is with odds 2.04.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Castuera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0
How many head-to-head matches has Castuera won against Jerez?
Castuera has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jerez won against Castuera?
Jerez has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castuera - Jerez were as follows:
27.10.2024
Jerez
-
Castuera
3:1
07.01.2024
Castuera
-
Jerez
4:0
Latest results of Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
