ACR Messina vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C ACR Messina - Catania
16/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Arena
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Goal Attempts
63
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
40
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luciani P. , Vicario J. ,
  • 46', Dell'Aquila F. , Tordini M. ,
  • 49', Marino A. 🟨,
  • 59', Montalto A. , De Paoli A. ,
  • 59', Lunetta G. , Dalmonte N. ,
  • 65', Costantino R. , De Sena C. ,
  • 67', De Sena C. 🟨,
  • 70', Raimo A. 🟨,
  • 87', Anastasio A. , Di Tacchio F. ,
  • 88', Quaini A. , Allegretto A. ,

Chances of winning


ACR Messina
27.9%
Draw
29.5%
Catania
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 25.6% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3% 24.6% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ACR Messina - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.7)
    3.12
    (3.5)
    2.16
    (1.78)
    8.7%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.
    • ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Catania is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Catania will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M. (Inactive) Ingrosso G. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Catania: Anastasio A. (Inactive) Bethers K. (Ankle Injury) Celli A. (Injury) Dalmonte N. (Injury) Guglielmotti D. (Injury) Inglese R. (Injury) Sturaro S. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Catania were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Catania - ACR Messina 0:0
    14.04.2024 Catania - ACR Messina 1:0
    09.12.2023 ACR Messina - Catania 1:0
    04.10.2023 Catania - ACR Messina 2:1
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    12.03.2025 Cavese - ACR Messina 3:3
    08.03.2025 ACR Messina - Avellino 0:1
    02.03.2025 Monopoli - ACR Messina 2:1
    24.02.2025 ACR Messina - Trapani 0:1
    15.02.2025 Benevento - ACR Messina 0:0
    Latest results of Catania
    08.03.2025 Latina - Catania 1:4
    02.03.2025 Catania - Foggia 1:1
    23.02.2025 Altamura - Catania 1:1
    16.02.2025 Catania - Casertana 1:1
    09.02.2025 Monopoli - Catania 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1