Result
16/03/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Arena |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Luciani P. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
- 46', Dell'Aquila F. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
- 49', Marino A. 🟨,
- 59', Montalto A. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
- 59', Lunetta G. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
- 65', Costantino R. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
- 67', De Sena C. 🟨,
- 70', Raimo A. 🟨,
- 87', Anastasio A. ↓, Di Tacchio F. ↑,
- 88', Quaini A. ↓, Allegretto A. ↑,
Chances of winning
ACR Messina
27.9% | Draw
29.5% | Catania
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACR Messina - Catania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↓
(3.7) |
3.12 ↓
(3.5) |
2.16 ↑
(1.78) |
8.7%
(11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 1.
- ACR Messina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Catania is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Catania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Catania will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in ACR Messina: Chiarella M.
(Inactive)
Ingrosso G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Catania: Anastasio A.
(Inactive)
Bethers K.
(Ankle Injury)
Celli A.
(Injury)
Dalmonte N.
(Injury)
Guglielmotti D.
(Injury)
Inglese R.
(Injury)
Sturaro S.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams ACR Messina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has ACR Messina won against Catania?
ACR Messina has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against ACR Messina?
Catania has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ACR Messina - Catania were as follows:
03.11.2024
Catania
-
ACR Messina
0:0
14.04.2024
Catania
-
ACR Messina
1:0
09.12.2023
ACR Messina
-
Catania
1:0
04.10.2023
Catania
-
ACR Messina
2:1
Latest results of ACR Messina
Latest results of Catania
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Salernitana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Cosenza | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Casarano | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Catania | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Casertana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Crotone | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Potenza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 10 | Latina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Audace Cerignola | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Picerno | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Altamura | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Foggia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Giugliano | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Cavese | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Trapani | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 4 |
| 19 | Atalanta U23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
