Catania vs Avellino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Uno
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
53
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
53
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Lunetta G. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Patierno C. ,
  • 33', D'Ausilio M. , Russo R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 1 - 2, Patierno C. ,
  • 62', De Paoli A. , Inglese R. ,
  • 66', Palmiero L. 🟨,
  • 70', Anastasio A. , Stoppa M. ,
  • 74', Lescano F. , Panico G. ,
  • 74', Armellino M. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 78', Russo R. 🟨,
  • 79', De Rose F. , Frisenna G. ,
  • 79', Jimenez K. , Dalmonte N. ,
  • 79', Raimo A. , Quaini A. ,
  • 81', Quaini A. 🟨,
  • 85', Ierardi M. 🟨,
  • 85', Patierno C. 🟨,
  • 88', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 90', Cagnano A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Palmiero L. , Mutanda N. ,

Chances of winning


Catania
34%
Draw
30%
Avellino
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 27.8% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.4% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Catania - Avellino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.12)
    3.05
    (3.32)
    2.54
    (2.17)
    9.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Catania - Avellino?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Catania (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 50%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 1.
    • Catania is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Avellino have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Catania: Bethers K. (Ankle Injury) Guglielmotti D. (Muscle Injury) Inglese R. (Muscle Injury) Luperini G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Injury) Guarnieri M. (Injury) Rocca M. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Catania won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Avellino were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Avellino - Catania 2:2
    25.05.2024 Avellino - Catania 2:1
    21.05.2024 Catania - Avellino 1:0
    06.03.2024 Avellino - Catania 5:2
    29.10.2023 Catania - Avellino 0:2
    Latest results of Catania
    30.03.2025 Trapani - Catania 0:3
    23.03.2025 Catania - Crotone 0:0
    08.03.2025 Latina - Catania 1:4
    02.03.2025 Catania - Foggia 1:1
    23.02.2025 Altamura - Catania 1:1
    Latest results of Avellino
    30.03.2025 Avellino - Benevento 2:1
    24.03.2025 Avellino - Potenza 1:0
    12.03.2025 Avellino - Trapani 2:0
    08.03.2025 ACR Messina - Avellino 0:1
    02.03.2025 Avellino - Juventus U23 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 36255671:254680
    2Catania361911652:232968
    3Casertana36198954:411365
    4Salernitana36189945:40563
    5Cosenza36189956:391763
    6Crotone361771255:342158
    7Casarano ✔ 361581351:55-453
    8Monopoli ✔ 3614101236:39-352
    9Audace Cerignola ✔ 3614101247:51-452
    10Potenza3612111351:53-247
    11Altamura3611111431:44-1344
    12Atalanta U233611101551:48343
    13Cavese369131434:40-640
    14Picerno369121542:53-1139
    15Sorrento369101738:54-1637
    16Latina368121628:42-1436
    17Giugliano36981933:50-1735
    18Foggia36692127:56-2927
    19Siracusa36981945:54-924
    20Trapani361391445:51-623

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
    Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)