Result
2:0
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Maiolo F. 🟨,
- 36', Fella G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pelamatti A. ↓, Nunziata F. ↑,
- 46', Forte F. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
- 58', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
- 59', Fella G. ↓, Sorrentino D. ↑,
- 59', Maiolo F. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
- 61', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
- 64', Allegretto A. 🟨,
- 66', Evangelisti N. 🟨,
- 69', Donnarumma D. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
- 79', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
- 80', Fusco G. 🟨,
- 81', Casasola T. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
- 84', Awua T. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Di Gennaro M. ⚽,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Caturano S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Catania
66.4% | Draw
22.5% | Cavese
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Catania - Cavese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.31) |
4.05 ↓
(4.55) |
8.25 ↓
(9.64) |
9.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catania - Cavese?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Catania will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3.
- Catania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cavese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Catania is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Catania will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Catania won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:4. (average 2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catania won against Cavese?
Catania has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavese won against Catania?
Cavese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catania - Cavese were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cavese
-
Catania
0:1
12.04.2025
Cavese
-
Catania
0:1
30.11.2024
Catania
-
Cavese
1:1
Latest results of Catania
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 29 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | Catania | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 60 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Casertana | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | Casarano | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Potenza | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Altamura | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 13 | Sorrento | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 32:40 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Cavese | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 31 |
| 15 | Picerno | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 | Latina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 29 |
| 17 | Trapani | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 37:37 | 0 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Foggia | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 25:51 | -26 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 35:44 | -9 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
