Foggia vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
27
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
15
Total shots
714
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
110

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Quaini A. 🟨,
  • 37', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
  • 44', Celli A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Quaini A. , Corbari A. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Bevilacqua M. ,
  • 63', D'Ausilio M. , Rolfini A. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Buttaro A. (Own goal),
  • 70', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
  • 75', Morelli G. , Castaldi G. ,
  • 75', Castorri G. , Nocerino L. ,
  • 84', Winkelmann T. , Petermann D. ,
  • 86', Bevilacqua M. , Fossati D. ,
  • 89', Di Tacchio F. , Stoppa M. ,
  • 90+7', D'Amico F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Foggia
15.5%
Draw
26.2%
Catania
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.3% 21.4% 67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9% 20.6% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Foggia - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.92
    (8.19)
    3.5
    (4.3)
    1.57
    (1.37)
    9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Foggia - Catania?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Catania will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 1.
    • Recent performances by Foggia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Catania is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Catania is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Foggia - Catania were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Catania - Foggia 6:0
    02.03.2025 Catania - Foggia 1:1
    20.10.2024 Foggia - Catania 2:2
    02.02.2024 Foggia - Catania 1:1
    25.09.2023 Catania - Foggia 0:2
    Latest results of Foggia
    20.12.2025 Salernitana - Foggia 2:1
    15.12.2025 Foggia - Monopoli 2:1
    06.12.2025 Siracusa - Foggia 2:2
    30.11.2025 Foggia - Nuova Cosenza 2:1
    22.11.2025 Trapani - Foggia 3:1
    Latest results of Catania
    21.12.2025 Catania - Atalanta U23 2:0
    14.12.2025 Potenza - Catania 1:1
    05.12.2025 Catania - Crotone 2:0
    29.11.2025 Picerno - Catania 0:1
    23.11.2025 Catania - Latina 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento29214463:204367
    2Catania29179346:153160
    3Salernitana29149636:30651
    4Cosenza29148744:311350
    5Casertana29137942:39346
    6Crotone291361042:281445
    7Monopoli29128930:30044
    8Audace Cerignola29119934:36-242
    9Casarano291161240:48-839
    10Potenza299101037:41-437
    11Altamura299101026:36-1037
    12Atalanta U2329971340:36434
    13Sorrento29891232:40-833
    14Cavese297101228:34-631
    15Picerno29791334:45-1130
    16Latina296111220:32-1229
    17Trapani291271037:37028
    18Giugliano29671625:43-1825
    19Foggia29571725:51-2622
    20Siracusa29751735:44-920

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation