Caty McNally vs Talia Gibson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Women Caty McNally - Talia Gibson
Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
64
1st Serve Percentage
70%60%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (32/54)59% (26/44)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)48% (14/29)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
43% (19/44)41% (22/54)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (15/29)35% (8/23)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
61% (47/77)55% (40/73)
Return Points Won
45% (33/73)39% (30/77)
Total Points Won
53% (80/150)47% (70/150)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
52% (12/23)48% (11/23)

Chances of winning


Caty McNally
66.4%
Talia Gibson
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Talia Gibson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caty McNally that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talia Gibson than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Talia Gibson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Caty McNally - Talia Gibson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.45)

    2.8
    (2.57)
    6.6%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • McNally is ranked WTA: 208. Gibson is ranked WTA: 126.
    • McNally has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gibson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gibson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • McNally will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Caty McNally
    Latest results of Talia Gibson
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Cross K.2 : 0
    2McHale C. (WC)Miyazaki L.1 : 2
    3Chang H.Ishii S.1 : 2
    4Bektas E.Aiava D. (5)1 : 2
    5Fruhvirtova L. (4)Kalieva E.0 : 2
    6Zhao C.Ma Y.2 : 0
    7Lincer O. (Q)Smith A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Mateas M.Hartono A. (7)0 : 2
    9Bolkvadze M. (8)Akli A.2 : 0
    10McNally C.Vidmanova D.2 : 0
    11Sebov K.Yamalapalli S.0 : 2
    12Hule P. (Q)Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    13Stefanini L. (6)Ma L. (WC)2 : 1
    14Rogers A. S.Bouchard E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Mandlik E.Kung L.2 : 0
    16Giavara H. (Q)Shibahara E. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Miyazaki L.2 : 0
    2Ishii S.Aiava D. (5)2 : 1
    3Kalieva E.Zhao C.1 : 2
    4Smith A.Hartono A. (7)2 : 1
    5Bolkvadze M. (8)McNally C.0 : 2
    6Yamalapalli S.Gibson T. (3)0 : 2
    7Stefanini L. (6)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    8Mandlik E.Giavara H.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Ishii S.2 : 0
    2Zhao C.Smith A.2 : 0
    3McNally C.Gibson T. (3)2 : 1
    4Stefanini L. (6)Mandlik E.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Maria T. (1)Zhao C.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Mandlik E.2 : 1

    Final
    1Maria T. (1)McNally C.1 : 2