Guarani de Juazeiro vs Caucaia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Cearense Guarani de Juazeiro - Caucaia
Result
1:1
06/03/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CEARENSE - RELEGATION - ROUND 5

Chances of winning


Guarani de Juazeiro
10.6%
Draw
18.4%
Caucaia
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 24.8% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 23.9% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guarani de Juazeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarani de Juazeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Caucaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caucaia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Juazeiro than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarani de Juazeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caucaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guarani de Juazeiro - Caucaia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.8
    (4.5)
    5.06
    (3.65)
    1.31
    (1.64)
    7.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Guarani de Juazeiro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caucaia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Caucaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Caucaia have a series of home games.
    • In this match Caucaia is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Caucaia to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani de Juazeiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani de Juazeiro - Caucaia were as follows:
    16.02.2023 Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro 1:0
    01.02.2023 Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro 5:0
    Latest results of Guarani de Juazeiro
    Latest results of Caucaia
    28.02.2023 Caucaia - Pacajus 0:0
    25.02.2023 Pacajus - Caucaia 1:1
    22.02.2023 Caucaia - Tombense 0:0
    07.02.2023 Caucaia - Pacajus 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Ceara (A1)Bye
    2Maracana (A2)Horizonte (A3)1 : 0, 3 : 2
    3Fortaleza (B1)Bye
    4Tirol (B2)Ferroviario (B3)0 : 3, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ceara (A1)Maracana (A2)4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Fortaleza (B1)Ferroviario (B3)1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Ceara (A1)Fortaleza (B1)1 : 1, 1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Maracana (A2)Ferroviario (B3)2 : 1