Result
4:1
02/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 78', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caudal Deportivo
68.8% | Draw
20.7% | Lenense
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caudal Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Lenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-12.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caudal Deportivo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Caudal Deportivo - Lenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.32) |
4.09 ↓
(4.28) |
8.09 ↓
(9.18) |
18%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 4.
- Recent performances by Caudal Deportivo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lenense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Caudal Deportivo is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caudal Deportivo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:4. (average 2.1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caudal Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Caudal Deportivo won against Lenense?
Caudal Deportivo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against Caudal Deportivo?
Lenense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caudal Deportivo - Lenense were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lenense
-
Caudal Deportivo
1:1
12.04.2025
Caudal Deportivo
-
Lenense
2:0
01.12.2024
Lenense
-
Caudal Deportivo
0:3
21.01.2024
Caudal Deportivo
-
Lenense
2:0
Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
Latest results of Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 61:17 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 75:21 | 54 | 71 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 71:24 | 47 | 58 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 50:35 | 15 | 57 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 51 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | CD Colunga | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 38 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Praviano | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
| 11 | Llanes | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Club Siero | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 18:30 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 34:46 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Gijon Industrial | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:50 | -23 | 25 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 30 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 18:65 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
