Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, Carcaba J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Lenense
10.4% | Draw
23.2% | Caudal Deportivo
66.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caudal Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lenense - Caudal Deportivo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.81 ↑
(6.69) |
3.93 ↑
(3.62) |
1.37 ↓
(1.48) |
9.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Caudal Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Caudal Deportivo is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lenense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lenense won against Caudal Deportivo?
Lenense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caudal Deportivo won against Lenense?
Caudal Deportivo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lenense - Caudal Deportivo were as follows:
12.04.2025
Caudal Deportivo
-
Lenense
2:0
01.12.2024
Lenense
-
Caudal Deportivo
0:3
21.01.2024
Caudal Deportivo
-
Lenense
2:0
Latest results of Lenense
Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 58:14 | 44 | 59 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 24 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 54:19 | 35 | 48 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:29 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:18 | 20 | 42 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | CD Colunga | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | EI San Martin | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:32 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Llanes | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | Praviano | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23:31 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 | SD Navarro CF | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 19 |
| 15 | Gijon Industrial | 24 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19:42 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | Lenense | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:42 | -24 | 15 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:45 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 24 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 15:48 | -33 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
