Result
2:1 ET
09/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 3 |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (291/417) | 63% (229/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (291/417) | 63% (229/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (35/93) | 44% (47/106) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (87/153) | 47% (61/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 8% (2/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Aird F. (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
- 45+8', Salter S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Gherasimencov M. 🟨,
- 64', Gherasimencov M. ↓, Fewo ↑,
- 68', Castro J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
- 75', Sissoko A. 🟨,
- 79', Musse A. ↓, Camargo S. ↑,
- 82', Shome S. 🟨,
- 86', Tabla B. ↓, Patterson M. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 91', Abatneh N. A. S. 🟨,
- 105', Elva C. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 105', Shome S. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑,
- 107', 2 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
- 110', Rodriguez D. ↓, Zapater A. ↑,
- 114', Ntignee G. 🟨,
- 116', Kobza E. 🟨,
- 120+2', Antinoro G. 🟨,
- 120+2', Aparicio M. ↓, Ortega K. ↑,
- 120+2', Antinoro G. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Ottawa
38% | Draw
27.4% | Cavalry
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.11) |
3.39 ↓
(3.5) |
2.69 ↓
(2.88) |
7.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Atlético Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Cavalry?
Atlético Ottawa has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Atlético Ottawa?
Cavalry has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry were as follows:
27.09.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Cavalry
3:0
23.08.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Cavalry
2:2
26.04.2025
Cavalry
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:3
15.09.2024
Cavalry
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:2
03.08.2024
Atlético Ottawa
-
Cavalry
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Latest results of Cavalry
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Forge | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Atl. Ottawa | |
| 7 | Cavalry | Bye | |
| 8 | HFX Wanderers | York Utd | 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Forge | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Atl. Ottawa | |
| 4 | Cavalry | York Utd | 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Forge | Atl. Ottawa | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Forge | Cavalry | 0 : 1 |
Final
