Cavalry vs Atlético Ottawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa
28/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.89
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
87% (417/481)85% (358/423)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.000.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.851.18
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
87% (417/481)85% (358/423)
Long passes
60% (33/55)57% (30/53)
Passes in final third
72% (121/168)65% (42/65)
Crosses
41% (7/17)0% (0/2)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.24
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1010
Tackles
27% (3/11)61% (14/23)
Duels won
4543
Clearances
919
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.180.85
Goals prevented
-0.820.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Santos K. , Castro J. (A),
  • 13', Laing L. 🟨,
  • 38', Montgomery C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Aird F. , Wahling N. ,
  • 59', Herdman J. , Elva C. ,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Salter S. , Aparicio M. (A),
  • 62', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
  • 76', Castro J. , Zapater A. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez D. , Sissoko A. ,
  • 79', Shome S. , Henry M. ,
  • 81', Salter S. , Patterson M. ,
  • 84', Gutierrez D. , Kobza E. ,
  • 84', Camargo S. , Myroniuk N. ,
  • 87', Tabla B. 🟨,
  • 87', Santos K. , Ortega K. ,
  • 87', Tabla B. , Kozlovskiy S. ,

Chances of winning


Cavalry
46.3%
Draw
27.2%
Atlético Ottawa
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 27.1% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 26.3% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cavalry's performance.
  • Atlético Ottawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Ottawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.27)
    3.38
    (3.4)
    3.46
    (2.84)
    8.8%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa 1:3
    15.09.2024 Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa 2:2
    03.08.2024 Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry 1:2
    21.06.2024 Cavalry - Atlético Ottawa 1:1
    20.04.2024 Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry 1:1
    Latest results of Cavalry
    22.06.2025 Cavalry - Pacific FC 1:0
    14.06.2025 HFX Wanderers - Cavalry 1:1
    08.06.2025 Cavalry - York United 2:1
    31.05.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:1
    25.05.2025 Cavalry - Valour 4:0
    Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Ottawa16105135:161935
    2Forge1697028:121634
    3Cavalry1574422:13925
    4York Utd1673627:20724
    5HFX Wanderers1673621:20124
    6Pacific FC16331015:30-1512
    7Valour15321016:35-1911
    8Vancouver FC16151015:33-188

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)