Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 5 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (434/487) | 86% (308/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (434/487) | 86% (308/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (26/48) | 74% (23/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (82/107) | 77% (90/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Salter S. ⚽,
- 28', Musse A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Aird F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Kobza E. 🟨,
- 55', Kozlovskiy S. 🟨,
- 63', Fewo ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
- 63', Shome S. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 67', Santos K. ↓, Assi J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Tabla B. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
- 75', Rodriguez D. ↓, Ortega K. ↑,
- 75', Castro J. ↓, Zapater A. ↑,
- 75', Ntignee G. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 75', Baldisimo M. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
- 75', Aird F. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 78', Ortega K. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 0, Tabla B. ⚽, Salter S. (A),
- 83', Tabla B. ↓, Verhoeven N. ↑,
- 83', Salter S. ↓, Patterson M. ↑,
- 86', Myroniuk N. 🟨,
- 88', Warschewski T. 🟨,
- 90+1', Elva C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Atlético Ottawa
44.4% | Draw
28.2% | Cavalry
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Ottawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Ottawa's performance.Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavalry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Ottawa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Ottawa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavalry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.4) |
3.36 ↑
(3.33) |
3.47 ↑
(2.64) |
5.4%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Ottawa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Atlético Ottawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético Ottawa has had a series of home games.
- Atlético Ottawa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlético Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Ottawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Ottawa won against Cavalry?
Atlético Ottawa has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Atlético Ottawa?
Cavalry has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry were as follows:
23.08.2025
Atlético Ottawa
-
Cavalry
2:2
26.04.2025
Cavalry
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:3
15.09.2024
Cavalry
-
Atlético Ottawa
2:2
03.08.2024
Atlético Ottawa
-
Cavalry
1:2
21.06.2024
Cavalry
-
Atlético Ottawa
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Ottawa
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | York Utd | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Valour | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
