Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 5 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (349/418) | 81% (290/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (349/418) | 81% (290/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/92) | 68% (92/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Choiniere D. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Camargo S. ⚽, Fewo (A),
- 27', Klomp D. 🟨,
- 29', Laing L. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Wright B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
- 67', Borges T. ↓, Paton H. ↑,
- 68', Aird F. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 68', Myroniuk N. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 69', Rama R. 🟨,
- 79', Bekker K. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
- 79', Wright B. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 86', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Warschewski T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 90+2', Choiniere D. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cavalry
38% | Draw
27.9% | Forge
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Cavalry - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.5) |
3.29 ↑
(3.21) |
2.69 ↑
(2.49) |
8.9%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Forge?
Cavalry has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Cavalry?
Forge has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Forge were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cavalry
-
Forge
4:1
31.05.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:1
05.04.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:0
09.11.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
2:1
27.10.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
0:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge ✔ | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Cavalry ✔ | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers ✔ | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | York Utd ✔ | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Valour | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35:62 | -27 | 26 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:59 | -29 | 23 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
