Cavalry vs Forge – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League Cavalry - Forge
Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 5
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus, Fox

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.17
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
83% (349/418)81% (290/357)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.19
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
83% (349/418)81% (290/357)
Long passes
52% (30/58)47% (25/53)
Passes in final third
59% (54/92)68% (92/135)
Crosses
20% (2/10)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.52
Throw-ins
1510
Fouls
1116
Tackles
60% (3/5)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
2017
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.191.22
Goals prevented
0.190.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Choiniere D. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Camargo S. , Fewo (A),
  • 27', Klomp D. 🟨,
  • 29', Laing L. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Wright B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
  • 67', Borges T. , Paton H. ,
  • 68', Aird F. , Wahling N. ,
  • 68', Myroniuk N. , Elva C. ,
  • 69', Rama R. 🟨,
  • 79', Bekker K. , Owolabi-Belewu M. ,
  • 79', Wright B. , Paton B. ,
  • 86', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
  • 87', Warschewski T. , Sellouf A. ,
  • 90+2', Choiniere D. , Cisse E. ,

Chances of winning


Cavalry
38%
Draw
27.9%
Forge
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 28% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 27.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Cavalry - Forge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.5)
    3.29
    (3.21)
    2.69
    (2.49)
    8.9%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Forge were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Cavalry - Forge 4:1
    31.05.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:1
    05.04.2025 Forge - Cavalry 1:0
    09.11.2024 Cavalry - Forge 2:1
    27.10.2024 Forge - Cavalry 0:1
    Latest results of Cavalry
    05.10.2025 Pacific FC - Cavalry 3:3
    27.09.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Cavalry 3:0
    20.09.2025 Cavalry - Valour 3:0
    13.09.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    05.09.2025 York United - Cavalry 3:1
    Latest results of Forge
    04.10.2025 Forge - Vancouver FC 1:1
    27.09.2025 Forge - Pacific FC 4:0
    21.09.2025 Atlético Ottawa - Forge 1:1
    11.09.2025 Valour - Forge 2:1
    Canadian Premier League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge ✔ 281610251:222958
    2Atl. Ottawa ✔ 281511254:282656
    3Cavalry ✔ 28119847:361142
    4HFX Wanderers ✔ 281161141:34739
    5York Utd ✔ 281081043:38538
    6Valour28751635:62-2726
    7Pacific FC28581530:59-2923
    8Vancouver FC28491535:57-2221

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)