Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/355) | 86% (365/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (287/355) | 86% (365/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 62% (32/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (71/105) | 74% (99/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Warschewski T. ⚽, Ntignee G. (A),
- 45+1', Aird F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', 2 - 0, Musse A. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 0, Warschewski T. ⚽, Gutierrez D. (A),
- 59', Wright B. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 59', Choiniere D. ↓, Massunda H. ↑,
- 59', Bekker K. ↓, Jensen N. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 1, Ampomah N. ⚽,
- 62', 4 - 1, Camargo S. ⚽,
- 67', Camargo S. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑,
- 68', Babouli M. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
- 70', Borges T. 🟨,
- 74', Ampomah N. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 79', Musse A. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 79', Ntignee G. ↓, Fewo ↑,
- 85', Gherasimencov M. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 85', Warschewski T. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 90+4', Kobza E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Rama R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavalry
30.3% | Draw
29.8% | Forge
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cavalry's form might have worsened.Forge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forge's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavalry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forge than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cavalry - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.47) |
3.06 ↑
(3) |
2.29 ↓
(2.93) |
9.5%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cavalry - Forge?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Forge will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 2.
- In recent matches, Cavalry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forge is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cavalry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Forge?
Cavalry has won 4 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Cavalry?
Forge has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Forge were as follows:
31.05.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:1
05.04.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:0
09.11.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
2:1
27.10.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
0:1
07.09.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
2:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 40:17 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 44:22 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 33 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
| 5 | York Utd | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 36:28 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23:42 | -19 | 20 |
| 7 | Valour | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 26:50 | -24 | 19 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:51 | -25 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
