Result
1:1
10/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 5 |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 1.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (349/418) | 81% (290/357) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 1.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
83% (349/418) | 81% (290/357) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (30/58) | 47% (25/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (54/92) | 68% (92/135) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.25 | 0.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (3/5) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.19 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Choiniere D. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Camargo S. ⚽, Fewo (A),
- 27', Klomp D. 🟨,
- 29', Laing L. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Wright B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
- 67', Borges T. ↓, Paton H. ↑,
- 68', Aird F. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 68', Myroniuk N. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 69', Rama R. 🟨,
- 79', Bekker K. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
- 79', Wright B. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 86', Jevremovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Warschewski T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 90+2', Choiniere D. ↓, Cisse E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cavalry 38% | Draw 27.9% | Forge 34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Cavalry - Forge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↓ (2.5) |
3.29 ↑ (3.21) |
2.69 ↑ (2.49) |
8.9% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Forge?
Cavalry has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Cavalry?
Forge has won 7 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Forge were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cavalry
-
Forge
4:1
31.05.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:1
05.04.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:0
09.11.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
2:1
27.10.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
0:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Forge ✔ | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Atl. Ottawa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
3 | Cavalry ✔ | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
4 | HFX Wanderers ✔ | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 39 |
5 | York Utd ✔ | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Valour | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35:62 | -27 | 26 |
7 | Pacific FC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:59 | -29 | 23 |
8 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)