Result
1:1
31/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (327/382) | 83% (307/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (327/382) | 83% (307/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (105/132) | 70% (67/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Camargo S. ⚽, Warschewski T. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Ampomah N. ⚽, Massunda H. (A),
- 21', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Piepgrass M. ↓, Daley J. ↑,
- 55', Owolabi-Belewu M. 🟨,
- 63', Daley J. 🟨,
- 68', Jevremovic M. ↓, Paton B. ↑,
- 68', Massunda H. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 75', Wahling N. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 82', Wright B. ↓, Filion M. ↑,
- 82', Bekker K. ↓, Kane K. ↑,
- 83', Camargo S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Musse A. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forge
34.7% | Draw
29% | Cavalry
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Forge - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.48) |
3.19 ↓
(3.21) |
2.56 ↓
(2.61) |
7.8%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Forge - Cavalry?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Forge will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cavalry will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 2.
- Forge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cavalry is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Forge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cavalry might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Cavalry?
Forge has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Forge?
Cavalry has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Cavalry were as follows:
05.04.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:0
09.11.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
2:1
27.10.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
0:1
07.09.2024
Forge
-
Cavalry
2:1
21.07.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
1:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Ottawa | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Forge | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 28:12 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
| 7 | Valour | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:35 | -19 | 11 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
