Result
0:1
02/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Rudolf Y. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, OneSoccer, TSN 2 |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/440) | 80% (261/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (369/440) | 80% (261/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/148) | 66% (51/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Kobza E. 🟨,
- 44', Owolabi-Belewu M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Ampomah N. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Warschewski T. ⚽,
- 61', Wright B. ↓, Choiniere D. ↑,
- 74', Jevremovic M. ↓, Borges T. ↑,
- 78', Warschewski T. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 78', Aird F. ↓, Laing L. ↑,
- 85', Massunda H. ↓, Paton H. ↑,
- 85', Bekker K. ↓, Babouli M. ↑,
- 89', Musse A. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 89', Field T. ↓, Fewo ↑,
- 90+3', Ntignee G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 90+7', Carducci M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Borges T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Forge
45.9% | Draw
27.6% | Cavalry
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forge than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Forge - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.91) |
3.31 ↑
(3.19) |
3.44 ↓
(3.52) |
9.4%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forge won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Forge has had a series of home games.
- Forge could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forge won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forge won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Forge won against Cavalry?
Forge has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Forge?
Cavalry has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forge - Cavalry were as follows:
10.10.2025
Cavalry
-
Forge
1:1
30.08.2025
Cavalry
-
Forge
4:1
31.05.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:1
05.04.2025
Forge
-
Cavalry
1:0
09.11.2024
Cavalry
-
Forge
2:1
Latest results of Cavalry
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Forge | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Atl. Ottawa | |
| 7 | Cavalry | Bye | |
| 8 | HFX Wanderers | Inter Toronto | 2 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Forge | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Atl. Ottawa | |
| 4 | Cavalry | Inter Toronto | 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Forge | Atl. Ottawa | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Forge | Cavalry | 0 : 1 |
Final
