Result
3:3
05/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (273/336) | 86% (368/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (273/336) | 86% (368/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 68% (45/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (59/76) | 76% (129/169) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Ndom A. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Ntignee G. ⚽, Gherasimencov M. (A),
- 34', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Young S. ⚽,
- 45', Greco-Taylor C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 2, Ntignee G. ⚽, Musse A. (A),
- 58', Young S. ↓, Keshavarz S. ↑,
- 60', Chung K. 🟨,
- 63', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 2, Keshavarz S. ⚽, Greco-Taylor C. (A),
- 70', 3 - 2, Diaz A. ⚽,
- 72', Camargo S. ↓, Kobza E. ↑,
- 72', Aird F. ↓, Laing L. ↑,
- 73', Chung K. ↓, Mukumbilwa G. ↑,
- 73', Toualy Y. R. ↓, Heard J. ↑,
- 73', Juhmi R. ↓, Vales M. ↑,
- 80', Diaz A. ↓, Zanatta D. ↑,
- 85', Montgomery C. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 85', Shome S. ↓, Elva C. ↑,
- 90+3', Heard J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Klomp D. ⚽, Elva C. (A),
- 90+5', Musse A. ↓, Field T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pacific FC
17% | Draw
23.3% | Cavalry
59.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pacific FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pacific FC's form might have worsened.Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cavalry's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cavalry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pacific FC - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.38 ↑
(4.12) |
3.94 ↑
(3.63) |
1.54 ↓
(1.74) |
9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 1.
- Pacific is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Cavalry has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Pacific has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pacific won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pacific FC won against Cavalry?
Pacific FC has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Pacific FC?
Cavalry has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pacific FC - Cavalry were as follows:
04.08.2025
Pacific FC
-
Cavalry
1:0
22.06.2025
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
1:0
17.05.2025
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
4:0
05.10.2024
Pacific FC
-
Cavalry
1:4
24.08.2024
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
1:0
Latest results of Pacific FC
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge ✔ | 28 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Cavalry ✔ | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 47:36 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers ✔ | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 | York Utd ✔ | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Valour | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35:62 | -27 | 26 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:59 | -29 | 23 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
