Result
1:0
04/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/361) | 85% (346/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/361) | 85% (346/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (62/92) | 77% (92/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/29) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Henry M. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 8', Heard J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Chung K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 62', Wahling N. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 62', Piepgrass M. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑,
- 75', Mukumbilwa G. ↓, Greco-Taylor C. ↑,
- 75', Daniels A. ↓, Young S. ↑,
- 75', Zanatta D. ↓, Bustos M. ↑,
- 83', Gherasimencov M. ↓, Herdman J. ↑,
- 83', Fewo ↓, Field T. ↑,
- 87', Heard J. ↓, Keshavarz S. ↑,
- 90', Diaz A. ↓, Montejano E. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Young S. ⚽, Montejano E. (A),
Chances of winning
Pacific FC
21.1% | Draw
25.7% | Cavalry
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pacific FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-4%)
Pacific FC - Cavalry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.39 ↑
(3.77) |
3.61 ↑
(3.32) |
1.74 ↓
(1.85) |
8%
(10.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pacific FC - Cavalry?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pacific will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Cavalry will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cavalry: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Pacific may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cavalry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pacific won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pacific FC won against Cavalry?
Pacific FC has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Pacific FC?
Cavalry has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pacific FC - Cavalry were as follows:
22.06.2025
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
1:0
17.05.2025
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
4:0
05.10.2024
Pacific FC
-
Cavalry
1:4
24.08.2024
Cavalry
-
Pacific FC
1:0
01.06.2024
Pacific FC
-
Cavalry
1:1
Latest results of Pacific FC
Latest results of Cavalry
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 35:13 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 37:17 | 20 | 39 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 5 | York Utd | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 25 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:34 | -13 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 19:43 | -24 | 14 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
