Result
 
                    4:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/10/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Canadian Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Canada | OneSoccer, TSN 2 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.28 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 0 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (316/367) | 84% (309/369) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.28 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.32 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 10 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 12 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 0 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 25 | 16 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (316/367) | 84% (309/369) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 50% (24/48) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 73% (72/99) | 70% (63/90) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 7% (1/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.31 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 15 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 61% (11/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 40 | 40 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 13 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.51 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.32 | -1.49 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Musse A. ⚽, Aird F. (A), 
- 17', 2 - 0, Warschewski T. ⚽, Elva C. (A), 
- 38', Kibato K. 🟨, 
- 43', Ferrari M. 🟨, 
- 45', 2 - 1, Hundal S. ⚽, Ferrazzo R. (A), 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 1, Singh L. (Own goal), 
- 58', 4 - 1, Warschewski T. ⚽, Elva C. (A), 
- 61', Kibato K. ↓, Accettola L. ↑, 
- 61', Adekugbe E. ↓, Bitar G. ↑, 
- 67', Elva C. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑, 
- 67', Ferrari M. ↓, Reid A. ↑, 
- 79', Aird F. ↓, Laing L. ↑, 
- 79', Warschewski T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑, 
- 83', Ntignee G. ↓, Wahling N. ↑, 
- 83', Musse A. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑, 
- 84', Singh L. ↓, DaSilva C. ↑, 
- 84', Yeates S. ↓, Costa J. N. ↑, 
- 85', Costa J. N. 🟨, 
- 89', Altobelli J. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cavalry 52.9%
 | Draw 25.2%
 | York United 21.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cavalry - York United Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.74 ↑ (1.74)
 | 3.65 (3.65)
 | 4.22 ↑ (4.12)
 | 8.5% (9.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- York United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against York United?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cavalry has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Cavalry?
                    
                    
                        
                             York United has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - York United were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.09.2025 
                                York United 
                                - 
                                Cavalry 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.07.2025 
                                Cavalry 
                                - 
                                York United 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.06.2025 
                                Cavalry 
                                - 
                                York United 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.05.2025 
                                York United 
                                - 
                                Cavalry 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.09.2024 
                                York United 
                                - 
                                Cavalry 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cavalry                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of York United