Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Stasolla F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | OneSoccer, TSN 5 |
Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.80 | 0.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
90% (487/540) | 80% (251/315) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.80 | 0.83 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.40 | 0.71 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
37 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
90% (487/540) | 80% (251/315) |
Long passes |
---|
75% (39/52) | 33% (19/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
86% (160/185) | 58% (35/60) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (15/48) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.44 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 58% (11/19) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.71 | 1.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.29 | 1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Altobelli J. ⚽, Kibato K. (A),
- 45', Bitar G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Piepgrass M. 🟨,
- 64', Ferrazzo R. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
- 64', Reid A. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
- 65', Field T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 65', Piepgrass M. ↓, Warschewski T. ↑,
- 74', Altobelli J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
- 75', Leon O. 🟨,
- 89', Camargo S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Urtiaga D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ntignee G. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 90+8', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavalry 55% | Draw 23.7% | York United 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavalry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Cavalry - York United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.62) |
3.91 ↓ (3.92) |
4.35 ↑ (4.26) |
8.1% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cavalry - York United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 33.3%). York United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, York United has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cavalry is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against York United?
Cavalry has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Cavalry?
York United has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - York United were as follows:
08.06.2025
Cavalry
-
York United
2:1
02.05.2025
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
20.09.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
0:2
16.08.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
13.07.2024
Cavalry
-
York United
1:2
Latest results of Cavalry
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Forge | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33:12 | 21 | 37 |
2 | Atl. Ottawa | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Cavalry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:15 | 8 | 25 |
4 | York Utd | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
5 | HFX Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Valour | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
7 | Pacific FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15:30 | -15 | 12 |
8 | Vancouver FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)