Result
4:1
26/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer, TSN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (316/367) | 84% (309/369) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (316/367) | 84% (309/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (72/99) | 70% (63/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Musse A. ⚽, Aird F. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Warschewski T. ⚽, Elva C. (A),
- 38', Kibato K. 🟨,
- 43', Ferrari M. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Hundal S. ⚽, Ferrazzo R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 1, Singh L. (Own goal),
- 58', 4 - 1, Warschewski T. ⚽, Elva C. (A),
- 61', Kibato K. ↓, Accettola L. ↑,
- 61', Adekugbe E. ↓, Bitar G. ↑,
- 67', Elva C. ↓, Baldisimo M. ↑,
- 67', Ferrari M. ↓, Reid A. ↑,
- 79', Aird F. ↓, Laing L. ↑,
- 79', Warschewski T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 83', Ntignee G. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 83', Musse A. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
- 84', Singh L. ↓, DaSilva C. ↑,
- 84', Yeates S. ↓, Costa J. N. ↑,
- 85', Costa J. N. 🟨,
- 89', Altobelli J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavalry
52.9% | Draw
25.2% | Inter Toronto
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Inter Toronto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Toronto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Cavalry - Inter Toronto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.74) |
3.65
(3.65) |
4.22 ↑
(4.12) |
8.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- York United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cavalry is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against Inter Toronto?
Cavalry has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Toronto won against Cavalry?
Inter Toronto has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - Inter Toronto were as follows:
05.09.2025
Inter Toronto
-
Cavalry
3:1
26.07.2025
Cavalry
-
Inter Toronto
0:1
08.06.2025
Cavalry
-
Inter Toronto
2:1
02.05.2025
Inter Toronto
-
Cavalry
1:2
20.09.2024
Inter Toronto
-
Cavalry
0:2
Latest results of Cavalry
Latest results of Inter Toronto
Canadian Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Cavalry | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | HFX Wanderers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Toronto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | Vancouver FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Atl. Ottawa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
