Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Referee: Stasolla F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer, TSN 5 |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (487/540) | 80% (251/315) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.80 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (487/540) | 80% (251/315) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (39/52) | 33% (19/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (160/185) | 58% (35/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (15/48) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Altobelli J. ⚽, Kibato K. (A),
- 45', Bitar G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Piepgrass M. 🟨,
- 64', Ferrazzo R. ↓, Ferrari M. ↑,
- 64', Reid A. ↓, Jimoh S. ↑,
- 65', Field T. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 65', Piepgrass M. ↓, Warschewski T. ↑,
- 74', Altobelli J. ↓, Hundal S. ↑,
- 75', Leon O. 🟨,
- 89', Camargo S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Urtiaga D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Ntignee G. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 90+8', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavalry
55% | Draw
23.7% | York United
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)York United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cavalry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for York United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Cavalry - York United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
3.91 ↓
(3.92) |
4.35 ↑
(4.26) |
8.1%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cavalry - York United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 33.3%). York United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, York United has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cavalry is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against York United?
Cavalry has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has York United won against Cavalry?
York United has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - York United were as follows:
08.06.2025
Cavalry
-
York United
2:1
02.05.2025
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
20.09.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
0:2
16.08.2024
York United
-
Cavalry
1:2
13.07.2024
Cavalry
-
York United
1:2
Latest results of Cavalry
Latest results of York United
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 38:13 | 25 | 46 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 4 | York Utd | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 33:23 | 10 | 29 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 19 |
| 7 | Valour | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20:47 | -27 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23:43 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
