Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Chirico C. 🟨,
- 38', Cajazzo I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Logoluso G. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
- 47', Maiello R. 🟨,
- 55', Cionek T. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 1, Chirico C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', D'Alena A. 🟨,
- 71', Chirico C. ↓, Ferrara V. ↑,
- 72', Macchi M. ↓, Yabre M. ↑,
- 72', Maiolo F. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 73', Celiento D. 🟨,
- 76', Cajazzo I. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
- 79', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
- 79', Luciani A. ↓, Visconti E. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Ubani M. ⚽,
- 89', Leonetti V. ↓, Palumbo F. ↑,
- 90', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ubaldi L. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
- 90+7', Awua T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavese 37.9% | Draw 30% | Casarano 32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Cavese - Casarano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.43 ↑ (2.3) |
3.06 ↓ (3.28) |
2.87 (2.87) |
8.8% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Cavese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cavese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavese won against Casarano?
Cavese has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casarano won against Cavese?
Casarano has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavese - Casarano were as follows:
21.09.2025
Casarano
-
Cavese
3:0
21.05.2023
Cavese
-
Casarano
3:0
16.04.2023
Casarano
-
Cavese
1:1
04.12.2022
Cavese
-
Casarano
2:1
Latest results of Casarano
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 62:20 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | Catania | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Casertana | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 42:35 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Crotone | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 43 |
| 8 | Audace Cerignola | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Potenza | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Casarano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Altamura | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Sorrento | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 2 | 31 |
| 14 | Picerno | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Trapani | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 16 | Latina | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
| 17 | Cavese | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:42 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Foggia | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24:49 | -25 | 22 |
| 20 | Siracusa | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation