Result
2:0
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
- 33', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gallo A. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 0, Gomez G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Fella G. 🟨,
- 63', Cionek T. ↓, Bolcano D. ↑,
- 63', Munari D. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
- 63', Visconti E. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
- 65', Gomez G. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
- 65', Sandri M. ↓, Calvano S. ↑,
- 72', Piovanello E. ↓, Energe A. ↑,
- 74', Ubaldi L. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 77', Calvano S. 🟨,
- 79', Yabre M. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
- 85', Groppelli F. ↓, Guerra W. ↑,
- 90+3', Novella M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Crotone
54% | Draw
28.2% | Cavese
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Crotone - Cavese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.6) |
3.23 ↓
(3.88) |
5.15 ↑
(4.87) |
9.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Crotone - Cavese?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cavese (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Crotone will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Crotone will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Crotone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cavese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Crotone is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Crotone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Crotone won against Cavese?
Crotone has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavese won against Crotone?
Cavese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crotone - Cavese were as follows:
25.10.2025
Cavese
-
Crotone
1:0
04.01.2025
Crotone
-
Cavese
1:1
02.09.2024
Cavese
-
Crotone
2:1
Latest results of Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 68:21 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | Catania | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 49:18 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Cosenza | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 59 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 57 |
| 5 | Casertana | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Crotone | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 50:32 | 18 | 52 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Monopoli | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Casarano | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 10 | Potenza | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Altamura | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 45:44 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cavese | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 36 |
| 14 | Latina | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 35 |
| 15 | Sorrento | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Picerno | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 37:51 | -14 | 32 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 31 |
| 18 | Trapani | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 41:49 | -8 | 27 |
| 20 | Foggia | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25:54 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
