Result
85:91 OT
09/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBB
- Referee: de Oliveira A. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 75 | 69 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 40% | 44.93% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 52.27% | 51.35% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 22.58% | 37.5% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 67.9% | 68% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 53 | 35 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
Chances of winning
Pato 47.3% | Caxias do Sul 52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pato - Caxias do Sul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.73) |
|
1.75 ↓ (1.89) |
8.2% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 147.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Pato - Caxias do Sul?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Caxias do Sul will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pato (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 148.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 72:76.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3.
- Recent form of Pato has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caxias do Sul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pato won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 890:899. (average 74.2:74.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 426:444. (average 71:74).
How many head-to-head matches has Pato won against Caxias do Sul?
Pato has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias do Sul won against Pato?
Caxias do Sul has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - Caxias do Sul were as follows:
21.10.2025
Caxias do Sul
-
Pato
70:63
20.01.2025
Pato
-
Caxias do Sul
78:65
31.10.2024
Caxias do Sul
-
Pato
81:80
12.04.2024
Caxias do Sul
-
Pato
68:85
29.12.2023
Pato
-
Caxias do Sul
78:74
Latest results of Caxias do Sul
Brazilian NBB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Pinheiros | 27 | 22 | 5 | 2321:2010 | 0.815 |
| 2 | Franca | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2587:2186 | 0.793 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 28 | 22 | 6 | 2434:2175 | 0.786 |
| 4 | Minas | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2435:2303 | 0.750 |
| 5 | Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2347:2184 | 0.714 |
| 6 | Brasilia | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2303:2035 | 0.714 |
| 7 | Paulistano | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2269:2154 | 0.607 |
| 8 | Sao Jose | 29 | 17 | 12 | 2385:2316 | 0.586 |
| 9 | Bauru | 29 | 17 | 12 | 2309:2268 | 0.586 |
| 10 | Mogi | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2124:1954 | 0.536 |
| 11 | Uniao Corinthians | 27 | 14 | 13 | 2137:2199 | 0.519 |
| 12 | Unifacisa | 27 | 14 | 13 | 2163:2138 | 0.519 |
| 13 | Caxias do Sul | 27 | 12 | 15 | 1959:2074 | 0.444 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 9 | 18 | 2139:2300 | 0.333 |
| 15 | Rio Claro | 27 | 8 | 19 | 2090:2360 | 0.296 |
| 16 | Pato | 28 | 7 | 21 | 2053:2224 | 0.250 |
| 17 | Cearense | 27 | 6 | 21 | 2080:2345 | 0.222 |
| 18 | Botafogo | 27 | 5 | 22 | 1946:2244 | 0.185 |
| 19 | Osasco | 27 | 4 | 23 | 2019:2353 | 0.148 |
| 20 | Vasco | 28 | 4 | 24 | 1950:2228 | 0.143 |
Promotion ~ NBB (Play Offs: )