Pato vs Caxias do Sul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:91 OT
09/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBB
  • Referee: de Oliveira A. (Bra)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7569
Field goals made
3031
Field goals %
40%44.93%
2-point field goals attempts
4437
2-point field goals made
2319
2-point field goals %
52.27%51.35%
3-point field goals attempts
3132
3-point field goals made
712
3-point field goals %
22.58%37.5%
Free throws attempts
2825
Free throws made
1917
Free throws %
67.9%68%
Offensive rebounds
238
Defensive rebounds
3027
Total rebounds
5335
Assists
2014
Blocks
72
Turnovers
2216
Steals
1110
Personal fouls
2524

Chances of winning


Pato
47.3%
Caxias do Sul
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pato - Caxias do Sul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.73)

    1.75
    (1.89)
    8.2%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 147.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Pato - Caxias do Sul?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pato will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Caxias do Sul will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pato (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 148.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 72:76.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3.
    • Recent form of Pato has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caxias do Sul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pato won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 890:899. (average 74.2:74.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 426:444. (average 71:74).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pato - Caxias do Sul were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Caxias do Sul - Pato 70:63
    20.01.2025 Pato - Caxias do Sul 78:65
    31.10.2024 Caxias do Sul - Pato 81:80
    12.04.2024 Caxias do Sul - Pato 68:85
    29.12.2023 Pato - Caxias do Sul 78:74
    Latest results of Pato
    29.12.2025 Pato - Pinheiros 67:94
    23.12.2025 Brasília Basquete - Pato 84:69
    20.12.2025 Pato - Osasco 82:67
    18.12.2025 Pato - Franca 71:93
    15.12.2025 Pato - Bauru 61:69
    Latest results of Caxias do Sul
    29.12.2025 Mogi - Caxias do Sul 71:56
    21.12.2025 Caxias do Sul - Unifacisa 89:80
    18.12.2025 Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul 80:79
    Brazilian NBB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Pinheiros272252321:20100.815
    2Franca292362587:21860.793
    3Flamengo282262434:21750.786
    4Minas282172435:23030.750
    5Corinthians Paulista282082347:21840.714
    6Brasilia282082303:20350.714
    7Paulistano2817112269:21540.607
    8Sao Jose2917122385:23160.586
    9Bauru2917122309:22680.586
    10Mogi2815132124:19540.536
    11Uniao Corinthians2714132137:21990.519
    12Unifacisa2714132163:21380.519
    13Caxias do Sul2712151959:20740.444
    14Cruzeiro279182139:23000.333
    15Rio Claro278192090:23600.296
    16Pato287212053:22240.250
    17Cearense276212080:23450.222
    18Botafogo275221946:22440.185
    19Osasco274232019:23530.148
    20Vasco284241950:22280.143

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