Vasco da Gama vs Caxias do Sul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro).

NBB
Referee: Signorelli G. (Bra)

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
70	67
Field Goals Made
32	27
Field Goals %
45.71%	40.3%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
44	37
2-Point Field Goals Made
26	15
2-Point Field Goals %
59.09%	40.54%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
26	30
3-Point Field Goals Made
6	12
3-Point Field Goals %
23.08%	40%
Free Throws Attempted
15	17
Free Throws Made
10	13
Free Throws %
66.7%	76.5%
Offensive Rebounds
12	16
Defensive Rebounds
24	28
Total Rebounds
36	44
Assists
20	17
Blocks
3	1
Turnovers
16	18
Steals
7	6
Personal Fouls
19	22

Chances of winning

Vasco da Gama
34.8%

Caxias do Sul
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama's form might have worsened.

Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caxias do Sul's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.18)		1.44 ↓ (1.61)	7.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul?

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vasco da Gama will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 71:77.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3.
Recent form of Vasco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Caxias do Sul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Caxias do Sul will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 577:617. (average 72.1:77.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 285:307. (average 71.3:76.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Caxias do Sul?

Vasco da Gama has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Caxias do Sul won against Vasco da Gama?

Caxias do Sul has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul were as follows:

04.02.2025 Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama 88:82

07.11.2024 Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul 80:71

20.01.2024 Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul 78:73

01.11.2023 Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama 63:68

Latest results of Vasco da Gama

16.12.2025 Vasco da Gama - União Corinthians 78:85 ✺

13.12.2025 Pinheiros - Vasco da Gama 84:70 ✺

11.12.2025 Paulistano - Vasco da Gama 65:69 ✺

25.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Rio Claro 81:84 ✺

23.11.2025 Vasco da Gama - Brasília Basquete 59:81 ✺

Latest results of Caxias do Sul

16.12.2025 São José dos Campos - Caxias do Sul 61:74 ✺

08.12.2025 Botafogo - Caxias do Sul 75:80 ✺

06.12.2025 Flamengo - Caxias do Sul 91:66 ✺

03.12.2025 Caxias do Sul - Minas 72:88 ✺

01.12.2025 Caxias do Sul - Cruzeiro 78:63 ✺

Brazilian NBB Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Pinheiros	27	22	5	2321:2010	0.815
2	Franca	29	23	6	2587:2186	0.793
3	Flamengo	28	22	6	2434:2175	0.786
4	Minas	28	21	7	2435:2303	0.750
5	Corinthians Paulista	28	20	8	2347:2184	0.714
6	Brasilia	28	20	8	2303:2035	0.714
7	Paulistano	28	17	11	2269:2154	0.607
8	Sao Jose	29	17	12	2385:2316	0.586
9	Bauru	29	17	12	2309:2268	0.586
10	Mogi	28	15	13	2124:1954	0.536
11	Uniao Corinthians	27	14	13	2137:2199	0.519
12	Unifacisa	27	14	13	2163:2138	0.519
13	Caxias do Sul	27	12	15	1959:2074	0.444
14	Cruzeiro	27	9	18	2139:2300	0.333
15	Rio Claro	27	8	19	2090:2360	0.296
16	Pato	28	7	21	2053:2224	0.250
17	Cearense	27	6	21	2080:2345	0.222
18	Botafogo	27	5	22	1946:2244	0.185
19	Osasco	27	4	23	2019:2353	0.148
20	Vasco	28	4	24	1950:2228	0.143

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