Result
1:0
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
- 34', Wallyson 🟨,
- 40', Anderson Rosa 🟨,
- 43', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Cunha ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 52', Eduardo Melo 🟨,
- 56', Joaozinho ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
- 62', Eduardo Melo ↓, Welder ↑,
- 70', Iago ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 70', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 74', Jenison ↓, Daniel ↑,
- 75', Anderson Rosa ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 75', Ian ↓, Randerson ↑,
- 83', Tomas Bastos ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Alan ⚽,
- 85', Wallyson ↓, Jonatha Carlos ↑,
- 89', Calyson 🟨,
- 90+1', Yann Rolim 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caxias
44.8% | Draw
32.1% | ABC
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1%)
Caxias - ABC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.84) |
2.89 ↓
(3.35) |
4.01 ↑
(3.95) |
7.7%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caxias - ABC?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caxias: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).
- Caxias is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- ABC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Caxias is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against ABC?
Caxias has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ABC won against Caxias?
ABC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - ABC were as follows:
18.08.2024
Caxias
-
ABC
2:0
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
