América RN vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D América RN - Caxias
28/08/2022 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


América RN
51.2%
Draw
30.3%
Caxias
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 34.7% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 34.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • América RN - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.17)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    4.84
    (3.65)
    11.5%
    (12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1