Caxias vs Bahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa do Brasil
Football Copa do Brasil Caxias - Bahia
Result
2:3 penalties
12/03/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Chances of winning


Caxias
20.5%		Draw
26.9%		Bahia
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.7% 27.5% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9% 26.5% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Caxias - Bahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.44 ↑
    (3.83)    		 3.45 ↑
    (3.3)    		 1.77 ↓
    (1.86)    		 8%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Caxias - Bahia?
  • Users Predictions: Bahia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.
    • Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Bahia have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Bahia is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Caxias
    08.03.2024 Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2024 Novo Hamburgo - Caxias 0:1
    28.02.2024 Portuguesa Santista - Caxias 0:1
    24.02.2024 Caxias - Avenida 2:0
    19.02.2024 Juventude - Caxias 1:1
    Latest results of Bahia
    09.03.2024 Jequié - Bahia 0:1
    06.03.2024 Ceará - Bahia 1:2
    03.03.2024 Bahia - Jacuipense 2:0
    28.02.2024 CRB Maceio - Bahia 0:1
    25.02.2024 Juazeirense - Bahia 1:2
    Draw
    2025

    1/64-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    3MaranhaoVitoria0 : 1
    4Santa Cruz de NatalNautico0 : 4
    5TremBrusque0 : 2
    6OlariaABC1 : 0
    7Pouso AlegreAthletico-PR0 : 2
    8Guarany de BageAE Altos2 : 1
    9Maringa FCJuventude1 : 0
    10Uniao CarmolandenseAmerica RN4 : 2
    11TocantinopolisAtletico-MG0 : 2
    12IndependenciaManaus1 : 2
    13ConcordiaPonte Preta2 : 1
    14PortuguesaBotafogo PB1 : 2
    16ByeFlamengo RJ
    17ASAAtletico GO1 : 2
    18JequieRetro1 : 2
    20ByeFortaleza
    21Paysandu PABye
    24ByeBahia
    25Aguia De MarabaFluminense0 : 8
    26DouradosSER Caxias0 : 2
    27CascavelAmerica MG1 : 0
    28VotuporanguenseAparecidense2 : 3
    29InternacionalBye
    31CeilandiaCoritiba3 : 2
    32MaracanaFerroviario2 : 1
    33SantosBye
    36ByeCRB
    37CruzeiroBye
    39Inter de LimeiraVila Nova FC0 : 1
    40Rio Branco-VNAmazonas1 : 0
    41Tuna LusoSampaio Correa1 : 0
    42BoavistaCSA0 : 2
    43Sao Raimundo RRGremio1 : 2
    44BarcelonaAthletic Club1 : 2
    45HumaitaOperario-PR0 : 1
    46CSETombense1 : 3
    47Uniao RondonopolisVasco0 : 3
    48Barcelona RONova Iguacu1 : 4
    49Operario VGSport Recife1 : 0
    50Rio Branco ESNovorizontino1 : 3
    52ByeCorinthians
    53SergipeCeara0 : 2
    54ParnahybaConfianca0 : 5
    56ByePalmeiras
    57Botafogo RJBye
    59Porto VelhoCuiaba1 : 0
    60CapitalPortuguesa RJ1 : 0
    61Operario MSCriciuma0 : 1
    62GASRemo0 : 4
    63SousaBragantino1 : 2
    64OratorioEC Sao Jose1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sao PauloBye
    2VitoriaNautico0 : 2
    3BrusqueOlaria2 : 1
    4Athletico-PRGuarany de Bage3 : 1
    5Maringa FCUniao Carmolandense4 : 2
    6Atletico-MGManaus4 : 1
    7ConcordiaBotafogo PB0 : 4
    8ByeFlamengo RJ
    9Atletico GORetro1 : 2
    10ByeFortaleza
    11Paysandu PABye
    12ByeBahia
    13FluminenseSER Caxias2 : 1
    14CascavelAparecidense0 : 1
    15InternacionalBye
    16CeilandiaMaracana0 : 1
    17SantosBye
    18ByeCRB
    19CruzeiroBye
    20Vila Nova FCRio Branco-VN6 : 0
    21Tuna LusoCSA0 : 5
    22GremioAthletic Club4 : 3
    23Operario-PRTombense1 : 0
    24VascoNova Iguacu3 : 0
    25Operario VGNovorizontino0 : 1
    26ByeCorinthians
    27CearaConfianca3 : 2
    28ByePalmeiras
    29Botafogo RJBye
    30Porto VelhoCapital1 : 3
    31CriciumaRemo2 : 1
    32BragantinoEC Sao Jose2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Sao PauloNautico2 : 1, 2 : 1
    2BrusqueAthletico-PR0 : 1, 0 : 0
    3Maringa FCAtletico-MG0 : 4, 2 : 2
    4Botafogo PBFlamengo RJ2 : 4, 0 : 1
    5RetroFortaleza2 : 1, 1 : 1
    6Paysandu PABahia0 : 4, 0 : 1
    7FluminenseAparecidense4 : 1, 1 : 0
    8InternacionalMaracana3 : 0, 1 : 0
    9SantosCRB0 : 1, 1 : 1
    10CruzeiroVila Nova FC3 : 0, 2 : 0
    11CSAGremio0 : 0, 3 : 2
    12Operario-PRVasco1 : 2, 1 : 1
    13NovorizontinoCorinthians0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CearaPalmeiras0 : 3, 0 : 1
    15Botafogo RJCapital0 : 1, 4 : 0
    16CriciumaBragantino0 : 6, 1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sao PauloAthletico-PR2 : 1
    2Atletico-MGFlamengo RJ1 : 0
    3RetroBahia2 : 3
    4FluminenseInternacional2 : 1
    5CRBCruzeiro0 : 0
    6CSAVasco0 : 0
    7CorinthiansPalmeiras1 : 0
    8Botafogo RJBragantino2 : 0
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