Caxias vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
00
Corner kicks
31
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
63
Shots on target
00
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 7', Paulo Henrique 🟨,
  • 34', Breno Santos 🟨,
  • 42', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Joao Pedro , Breiner C. ,
  • 61', Joao Lucas , Matheus Anjos ,
  • 61', Matheus Nunes , Vitor Feijao ,
  • 65', 1 - 0, Salatiel ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 71', Breno Santos , Grigor ,
  • 71', Calyson , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 72', Matheus Juliao , Fabricio ,
  • 72', Danielzinho , Marcelo ,
  • 84', Fabricio 🟨,
  • 87', Weriton 🟨,
  • 89', Gabriel Zeca , Wendel ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
53.4%
Draw
29.4%
Confiança
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 32.4% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 31.8% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caxias's performance.
  • Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caxias that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Confiança could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Caxias - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.02)
    3.12
    (2.8)
    5.37
    (4.02)
    8.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Caxias is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Confiança were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Confiança - Caxias 2:1
    31.07.2024 Caxias - Confiança 1:0
    Latest results of Caxias
    08.04.2026 Caxias - Juventude 1:0
    04.04.2026 Brusque - Caxias 2:1
    29.03.2026 América Mineiro - Caxias 1:2
    25.02.2026 Caxias - Guarany de Bagé 0:1
    Latest results of Confiança
    09.04.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:1
    05.04.2026 Confiança - Amazonas 0:1
    26.03.2026 Sousa - Confiança 4:1
    18.03.2026 Vila Nova - Confiança 0:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas44007:0712
    2Brusque43108:5310
    3Paysandu PA42207:348
    4Floresta EC42205:328
    5Ypiranga FC42117:437
    6Ituano42117:527
    7Botafogo PB42025:416
    8SER Caxias42024:406
    9Maringa FC42029:10-16
    10Guarani41306:426
    11Barra FC41216:425
    12Inter de Limeira41216:605
    13Santa Cruz41122:3-14
    14Figueirense41125:8-34
    15Maranhao41123:7-44
    16Confianca41032:4-23
    17Volta Redonda41032:5-33
    18Anapolis41034:8-43
    19Ferroviaria40224:7-32
    20Itabaiana40133:8-51

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