Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 5 |
Total shots |
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11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Jeh ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Calyson ⚽,
- 22', Jeh 🟨,
- 45+4', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jean Dias ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 51', Calyson 🟨,
- 52', Bruno Lopes 🟨,
- 62', Bruno Lopes ↓, Leocovick ↑,
- 66', Leocovick 🟨,
- 68', Calyson ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 69', Eduardo Melo ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 71', Jeh ↓, Pacheco ↑,
- 76', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
- 81', Iago 🟨,
- 83', Iago ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 84', Marcelo ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 88', Maguinho ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
- 88', Luiz Felipe ↓, Rodrigo Souza ↑,
- 90+2', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 90+6', Artur 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Lorran ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caxias 39.2% | Draw 32.1% | Ponte Preta 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Caxias - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.42 ↑ (2.25) |
2.95 ↓ (3) |
3.31 ↑ (3) |
5.5% (11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Caxias - Ponte Preta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Caxias could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Ponte Preta?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Caxias?
Ponte Preta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Ponte Preta were as follows:
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
9 | CSA | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
15 | Maringa FC | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 |
16 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Figueirense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
18 | Itabaiana | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:17 | -5 | 15 |
19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D