Caxias vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Caxias - Ponte Preta
Result
2:1
27/07/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
118
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Jeh ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Calyson ,
  • 22', Jeh 🟨,
  • 45+4', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jean Dias , Diego Tavares ,
  • 51', Calyson 🟨,
  • 52', Bruno Lopes 🟨,
  • 62', Bruno Lopes , Leocovick ,
  • 66', Leocovick 🟨,
  • 68', Calyson , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 69', Eduardo Melo , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 71', Jeh , Pacheco ,
  • 76', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
  • 81', Iago 🟨,
  • 83', Iago , Alisson ,
  • 84', Marcelo , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 88', Maguinho , Jonas Toro ,
  • 88', Luiz Felipe , Rodrigo Souza ,
  • 90+2', Pedro Cuiaba , Lorran ,
  • 90+6', Artur 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, Lorran ,

Chances of winning


Caxias
39.2%
Draw
32.1%
Ponte Preta
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 30% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.8% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Caxias - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.25)
    2.95
    (3)
    3.31
    (3)
    5.5%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Caxias - Ponte Preta?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Caxias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Caxias could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Caxias
    13.07.2025 Caxias - Anápolis 1:0
    05.07.2025 CS Alagoano - Caxias 2:3
    29.06.2025 Caxias - Ituano 2:1
    14.06.2025 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:2
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    02.06.2025 Ponte Preta - Ypiranga 0:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D