Result
0:2 penalties
21/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Troféu Farroupilha - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (311/396) | 65% (166/257) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (311/396) | 65% (166/257) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (23/56) | 24% (15/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (59/105) | 48% (32/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Felipe Rangel ⚽, Araujo (A),
- 38', Matheus Nunes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yann Rolim ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 46', Felipe Rangel ↓, Valber Junior ↑,
- 56', Lucas Candido 🟨,
- 57', Rogerio Sena 🟨,
- 65', Douglas Skilo ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
- 69', Rogerio Sena ↓, Victor Jesus ↑,
- 72', Matheus Nunes ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
- 72', Jeam ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 74', Araujo ↓, Denis Germano ↑,
- 80', Thiago Ennes ↓, Ronei ↑,
- 85', Lucas Hian 🟨,
- 88', Escuro ↓, Felipe Tontini ↑,
- 88', Higor ↓, Marcio Duarte ↑,
- 90+2', Vitor Feijao 🟨,
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Lucas Candido (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Felipe Tontini (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Roberto (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Vidmar (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Gustavo Nescau (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Denis Germano (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Jhonatan Ribeiro (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Gabriel Santiago (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Vitor Feijao (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Caxias
55.7% | Draw
26.6% | São Luiz
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)São Luiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Luiz than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Caxias - São Luiz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
3.54 ↑
(3.28) |
5.28 ↓
(5.75) |
8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 3.
- Caxias is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, São Luiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Caxias is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against São Luiz?
Caxias has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Luiz won against Caxias?
São Luiz has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - São Luiz were as follows:
16.02.2026
São Luiz
-
Caxias
1:2
11.01.2026
São Luiz
-
Caxias
1:1
08.02.2025
Caxias
-
São Luiz
1:0
27.01.2024
Caxias
-
São Luiz
2:2
12.02.2023
Caxias
-
São Luiz
3:1
Latest results of São Luiz
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
