Result
0:2
06/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Gaucho - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 76% (222/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 76% (222/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/126) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Cleiton ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Danielzinho ⚽, Willian Gomes (A),
- 34', Wellington Reis 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ronei ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
- 46', Joilson ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 50', Gustavo Simoes 🟨,
- 51', Ze Carlos 🟨,
- 63', Jeam ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 68', Walce 🟨,
- 70', Felipe Ferreira ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 70', Estevao ↓, Lucas Ramos ↑,
- 71', Wellington Reis ↓, Breno Santos ↑,
- 74', Tomas Bastos 🟥,
- 76', Danielzinho ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 76', Calyson ↓, Victor Sa ↑,
- 77', Breno Santos 🟨,
- 84', Gustavo Simoes ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
- 84', Ramon Vinicius ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
Chances of winning
Caxias
48.6% | Draw
30.7% | Ypiranga
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Caxias - Ypiranga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.03) |
3 ↓
(3.13) |
4.44 ↑
(3.62) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caxias - Ypiranga?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ypiranga (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Caxias will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Caxias will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Caxias (votes: 9 - 90%). Ypiranga (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Caxias is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Ypiranga?
Caxias has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ypiranga won against Caxias?
Ypiranga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Ypiranga were as follows:
03.08.2025
Ypiranga
-
Caxias
0:1
07.08.2024
Ypiranga
-
Caxias
1:0
24.01.2024
Ypiranga
-
Caxias
2:2
04.03.2023
Caxias
-
Ypiranga
3:0
Latest results of Ypiranga
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Internacional | Sao Luiz | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | SER Caxias | Ypiranga FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Juventude | EC Sao Jose | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Gremio | Novo Hamburgo | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Internacional | Ypiranga FC | 4 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Juventude | Gremio | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final
