Result
0:1
03/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 23', Ricardo Bueno 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Eduardo Melo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', 🟨,
- 67', Eduardo Melo ↓, Welder ↑,
- 79', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 79', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 79', Jhonatan Ribeiro ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 87', Douglas Skilo ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 89', Lorran 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ypiranga
40% | Draw
31.1% | Caxias
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2%)
Ypiranga - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.16) |
2.95 ↓
(3.04) |
3.18 ↓
(3.19) |
8.9%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ypiranga - Caxias?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 2.
- Recent performances by Ypiranga have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Caxias is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ypiranga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ypiranga won against Caxias?
Ypiranga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Ypiranga?
Caxias has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ypiranga - Caxias were as follows:
07.08.2024
Ypiranga
-
Caxias
1:0
24.01.2024
Ypiranga
-
Caxias
2:2
04.03.2023
Caxias
-
Ypiranga
3:0
Latest results of Ypiranga
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
| 2 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Ponte Preta | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 27 |
| 5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
| 7 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
| 9 | CSA | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 10 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Guarani | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Ituano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
| 14 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Itabaiana | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 13:17 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Maringa FC | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | ABC | 16 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
